Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 4.5 Rebounds (+102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we dive into Thursday's matchup between the Orlando Magic and Sacramento Kings, Devin Carter presents a compelling case for a bet on the under for his rebounds at 4.5. Playing away from home, Carter has averaged just 3.6 rebounds in his last five outings, and when facing the Kings, he's managed a mere 2.7 rebounds on average. In fact, during his last five games against Sacramento away, he hasn't even registered a rebound! With an overall hit rate of 14 out of his last 20 games, and an impressive 18 out of 20 when away, it's clear that Carter's rebounding prowess diminishes on the road. Considering the implied probability is hovering around 49.5%, targeting the under on Carter feels like a savvy play. With expectations set at just 3.35 rebounds, it's hard to envision him surpassing that 4.5 mark comfortably in this matchup.

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings head into Orlando, we're looking at Malik Monk's three-point shooting, particularly why he's more likely to fall short of that 2.5 mark tonight. Though he has hit his share of threes recently, averaging two makes over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story. Monk has struggled on the road, converting just 0.8 threes in his last five away games. Additionally, while he has had some success against this Magic squad, averaging 2.4 threes when they meet, that number dips to 1.2 when he's away from home. If we dig deeper, Monk has managed to hit the under in four of his last five outings away, suggesting that the road environment might not be kind to him tonight. Given these trends, taking the under on Monk's threes feels like a solid call.

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 2.5 Rebounds (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Malik Monk steps onto the court against the Orlando Magic, the numbers suggest a cautious bet on his rebounding performance, particularly aiming for the under on 2.5 boards. Historically, Monk has averaged just 1.8 rebounds in away games recently, and his overall average dips to a modest 2 in this matchup. The Magic pose a unique challenge; Monk has managed only 1.2 rebounds against them in their last five encounters, indicating that he often gets boxed out in this specific matchup.Moreover, with a solid 9 out of his last 13 away games ending under this threshold, it's clear that when the Kings travel, Monk's rebounding opportunities dwindle. As the Kings look to exploit their offensive strengths, Monk might find less room to contribute on the glass, making the under on his rebounds a savvy play.

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