Rasheer Fleming (Phoenix Suns) Under 3.5 Rebounds (+128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When looking at Rasheer Fleming's rebounding numbers ahead of the Suns' clash with the Nuggets, it's hard to ignore the compelling case for taking the under on 3.5 boards. Although he's averaged 3.8 rebounds at home recently, that number dips significantly against the Nuggets, where he's mustered just a single rebound in their last five encounters. In fact, at home, he hasn't even registered a board against Denver. Over the last six games, he's cleared this 3.5 threshold only twice, and his overall hit rate at home is strikingly strong at 17 out of 20 games. However, the matchup with the Nuggets, who are a tough rebounding team, suggests a different story. Given his expected stat value of just 2.81, it feels wise to lean towards the under here. With the odds favoring this narrative, it's a bet worth considering.

Khaman Maluach (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Khaman Maluach's rebounding prop. With an over/under set at 4.5, the play here is decidedly on the under. Maluach has averaged just 3.8 rebounds over his last five games, and at home, he's pulling down an even more modest 5.2. Against Denver specifically, he's averaged a mere 1 board in their previous matchups, and shockingly, he hasn't recorded a single rebound at home against them. Considering he has only hit the over in 9 of his last 12 outings, the trend leans heavily in our favor. The Suns are also deep, which could limit Maluach's on-court time. With an implied probability of 61.3% for this under to hit, it's a bet that carries a solid narrative backed by recent performance. Let's ride with the under on this one

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Phoenix Suns host the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Grayson Allen to exceed 16.5 combined points and rebounds. Allen has been a force at home, averaging a solid 20.4 points and 3 rebounds in his last five games at Footprint Center. Against Denver, he's demonstrated even more promise, tallying 15.8 points on average, with a notable increase to 10.2 at home.What's more impressive is his recent form: over the last 19 games, he's hit this mark 16 times, hitting a staggering 11 out of 12 at home. With Denver's defense focused on other stars, this could open up opportunities for Allen to exploit mismatches. Given his expected stat value of 19.61, backing the over feels not just wise but almost inevitable. It's a chance to ride the wave of his home-court advantage against a Nuggets team that might struggle to contain his scoring.

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