Yves Missi (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-385)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Sacramento Kings, all eyes should be on Yves Missi and his rebounding numbers. While it might seem tempting to bet on the over for his rebounds, let's look deeper. Missi has averaged just 4.4 rebounds in his last five games, and when he hits the road, that number only slightly nudges up to 4.8. Against the Kings, he's fared marginally better with an average of 6.2 boards, but that drops to 7.5 when playing away. With the odds showing a strong trend-he's hit the under in 15 consecutive away games-it's clear Missi struggles to snag boards outside of his comfort zone. Given this context, betting on Missi for under 9.5 rebounds feels like a savvy move, especially considering the implied probability of nearly 80%. It's a bet that aligns perfectly with the patterns we've seen unfold.

Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Sacramento Kings host the New Orleans Pelicans, Devin Carter's recent performance suggests he may struggle to hit the over on 24.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. Despite being at home, where he has thrived, Carter's contributions have dipped significantly lately. Over the last six games, he's only eclipsed this number once, a trend reflected in his overall hit rate, which sits at an impressive 83% at home over the last 20 games. The Kings have been leaning heavily on their established stars, limiting Carter's opportunities for big numbers. With an expected stat value around 16.43, it seems the odds are stacked against him. Given the Pelicans' defensive prowess and the statistical trends, targeting the under feels like a smart play. If Carter's recent form holds, this could be a game where he finds himself falling short of that critical 24.5 mark.

Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 13.5 Points (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Sacramento Kings prepare to host the New Orleans Pelicans, Devin Carter's scoring potential is definitely worth a closer look. While he's shown flashes of brilliance this season, he's been held under 13.5 points in 14 of his last 19 games at home, revealing a pattern that suggests he thrives more as a playmaker than a scorer. His recent form supports this narrative, with only two out of his last three games exceeding this threshold. The matchup against the Pelicans, who boast a solid defensive unit, could further stifle his scoring opportunities. With an expected stat value hovering around 9.75, it seems prudent to lean toward the under for Carter's points. As he settles into a supporting role, the under 13.5 feels like a savvy play worth considering as the Kings look to secure the win.

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