Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Dylan Harper has been impressive this season, but the numbers suggest that this matchup against the Indiana Pacers might not favor him reaching that 9.5 mark for combined rebounds and assists. At home, Harper has hit this under in 14 of his last 18 games, showcasing a trend that's hard to ignore. The Spurs' style of play tends to limit his opportunities to rack up those stats, especially with the Pacers' fast pace that can lead to more isolation plays. In fact, his expected stat value hovers around 7.03, indicating he may struggle to reach double digits in this category. With a solid hit rate of 7 out of the last 9 games pushing towards the under, it looks like a smart move to lean into Harper's recent form. In a game where every possession counts, don't be surprised if he falls short of that 9.5 threshold.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs gear up to host the Indiana Pacers, all eyes will be on Dylan Harper, but betting on him to hit the over of 18.5 points and rebounds could be a risky play. Harper has shown flashes of brilliance, but lately, he's been more subdued, especially at home, where he's managed to stay under this mark in three straight games. With an expected stat value of just 14.11, it's clear he's not hitting his stride. The Spurs' offensive flow has been choppy, limiting his opportunities for both scoring and rebounding. Plus, the Pacers are a team that can stifle production, with solid defensive strategies that could further hinder Harper's output. With a recent hit rate of only 3 out of the last 4 games, betting the under feels like a smart move as he struggles to find his rhythm in this matchup.

Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs host the Indiana Pacers, all eyes will be on Keldon Johnson, but we see value in betting on him to fall under 5.5 rebounds. Johnson's recent rebounding numbers tell a compelling story; he's averaging just 4.4 boards over his last five games, and while he's been slightly more productive at home with 4.6, the matchup against the Pacers may not favor him. Historically, he's only managed an average of 4 rebounds against Indiana, dipping to just 3 in their last encounter. With a hit rate of 4-for-4 in the last four games and 7-for-10 at home, it's clear his rebounding output is trending downward. Given that the expected stat value is only 4.36, taking the under on Johnson's rebounds feels like a strong play in this matchup.

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