Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 23.5 Points + Assists (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Dylan Harper, but we might want to consider the under on his combined points and assists at 23.5. Harper has been solid lately, averaging 14.8 points and 4 assists over his last five games, but the numbers tell a different story when facing Portland. He's only managed about 6.5 points and 2.5 assists against them lately, which is concerning. At home, his stats dip further, with just 14.4 points and 4 assists in the same span. The real kicker? His remarkable home hit rate, where he's only gone over this mark twice in the last 20 games, hitting the under 18 times. With an expected stat value of just 13.14, it seems prudent to lean towards the under for Harper this Thursday night.

Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs prepare to host the Trail Blazers, all eyes should be on Luke Kornet's rebounding numbers. Despite his size and presence in the paint, his recent performance suggests a decline in his ability to snag boards. Over the last five games, he's averaging just four rebounds overall, and when at home, that number slightly rises to 5.6. However, against the Blazers specifically, he's only pulling in about 4.8 rebounds per game, which paints a clear picture of his struggles.Digging deeper, Kornet has hit the under on 8.5 rebounds in each of his last eight outings, making this trend hard to ignore. With an expected stat value of just 5.08, the under looks promising. The Spurs might lean more on their guards for rebounding, giving Kornet less opportunity to hit that high mark. Betting on the under in this matchup feels like a smart play, especially given the numbers.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Dylan Harper has been a solid player for the Spurs, but tonight's matchup against the Trail Blazers suggests we might see a quieter performance. Over his last five games, Harper is averaging just 14.8 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 4 assists, far from the lofty 27.5 mark we're targeting for the under. At home, those numbers dip slightly, with him contributing around 14.4 points and 4.8 rebounds-still a far cry from the total we need. Moreover, when facing the Blazers, he's averaged just 6.5 points, and at home, that number drops even further to 6. With a hit rate of 19 out of 20 at home on this under, it's clear Harper tends to underperform against this opponent. Given these trends, betting the under on Harper feels like a smart play tonight.

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