Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In Thursday's matchup between the Spurs and the Trail Blazers, targeting Dylan Harper for the under on points, rebounds, and assists at 28.5 seems like a wise move. Harper has been solid, averaging 14.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 4 assists at home recently, but those numbers dip against Portland, where he's scoring just 6 points per game. His recent form shows he's hit the under in 19 of his last 20 home games, and with an expected stat value of 16.98, he's far from reaching that combined total. The Blazers' defense has been stingy, limiting him to an average of 3 rebounds and 3 assists. With Harper consistently falling short of the mark against this opponent, it's hard to see him breaking through in this game. The stats tell a compelling story - it's a smart play to lean towards the under.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs prepare to host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Dylan Harper, but one prop bet stands out: the Under on his combined points and rebounds at 22.5. While Harper has been impressive recently, averaging 14.8 points and 3.2 rebounds over his last five games, those numbers dip when he faces the Blazers. Historically, he's only been able to muster 6.5 points against this opponent, with a meager 6 at home. The Spurs' young star has been solid at home, averaging 14.4 points and 4.8 rebounds, but even that totals just 19.2-well below our target. With a remarkable hit rate of 19 out of his last 20 home games falling under this mark, it's clear Harper may struggle to find his rhythm against a stout Portland defense. Betting the Under feels like a savvy play here.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs prepare to host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes are on Dylan Harper, especially when it comes to his three-point shooting. While Harper has been a solid contributor, averaging 1.6 threes over his last five outings, a closer look reveals a trend that favors the under. At home, he's only hitting about 1.4 threes, and against the Blazers, his average dips to 1.5. What's compelling here is Harper's impressive home hit rate - he's connected on just over 83% of his last 18 home games, but that includes nights where he's simply not relied upon for deep shots. Given the Spurs' offensive setup, tonight might not be the night he exceeds the 1.5 mark. With the implied probability leaning towards the under, it looks like a smart play to take.

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