Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 13.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When examining Devin Carter's scoring potential against the New Orleans Pelicans, it's hard to overlook the numbers telling a compelling story for the Under on 13.5 points. Despite the Kings being at home, Carter's recent form indicates a struggle to consistently find the net, with an expected stat value of just 9.75 points. He's managed to go under this line in 14 of his last 19 home games, a clear trend that suggests he often doesn't reach those higher scoring thresholds. While he did score well in his last few outings, hitting the mark only 2 out of his last 3 games, the Pelicans' defensive setup can be tricky, especially with their focus on limiting perimeter scoring. If Sacramento plays to their strengths defensively, Carter might find it tough to break through, making the Under a compelling choice here.

Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 17.5 Points + Assists (-106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Sacramento Kings gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, Devin Carter is firmly in the spotlight-but not in the way some might expect. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, the numbers suggest a different narrative for his points and assists combined, particularly with the line set at 17.5. Carter's recent form reveals that he's only eclipsed this mark in two of his last three outings, which isn't exactly a ringing endorsement. At home, he has thrived under pressure, but his consistency has faltered lately, with a hit rate of just 14 out of 19 games. Given that his expected contribution is closer to 13.5, this presents a compelling case for the under. With the Pelicans' defense tightening, targeting the under on Carter feels like betting on reason over hype-an opportunity to capitalize on statistical reality.

Maxime Raynaud (Sacramento Kings) Under 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Sacramento Kings gear up to host the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Maxime Raynaud. While he's shown flashes of potential, recent performance suggests he might struggle to crack 26.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined in this matchup. Over his last five games, Raynaud has averaged just 12.6 points, 8 rebounds, and 1 assist. At home, those numbers tick up slightly to 19.2 points and 8.2 rebounds, but he's historically struggled against this Pelicans team, averaging only 10 points and 5 rebounds when they visit Sacramento.His overall hit rate of 4 out of 5 may seem promising, but considering the Kings' depth and the Pelicans' defensive schemes, Raynaud may find it tough to meet the total. With an expected stat value of just 21.4, betting the under seems like a savvy play in this context.

Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Kings host the Pelicans, all eyes will be on Devin Carter, but don't be surprised if he falls short of the 24.5 points, rebounds, and assists mark. Carter has been on a roll lately, but the numbers suggest a regression is coming. In his last six outings, he hit the over just once, reflecting a hit rate of 5/6 which has masked a deeper trend. At home, Carter's production has dipped significantly, exceeding the threshold in just 18 of his last 20 games in Sacramento. The Kings' recent defensive adjustments have also limited his opportunities. With an expected stat value of only 16.43, we're looking at a player likely to struggle against a Pelicans team that's been tightening up defensively. Given these factors, betting on Carter to stay under 24.5 seems not just prudent, but a savvy play as he faces a challenging matchup.

Maxime Raynaud (Sacramento Kings) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings take on the Pelicans at home, all eyes will be on Maxime Raynaud, but betting on the under for his rebounds at 8.5 could be the savvy move. Despite showing flashes of brilliance, Raynaud's recent home performances tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 8.2 rebounds at home, and against the Pelicans, he's managed a mere 5 boards per game on his own court. While he had a standout showing against them previously, that was an anomaly rather than the norm. With the Kings' depth in the frontcourt and New Orleans focusing on protecting the glass, Raynaud might find it tough to hit double digits. Given the stats and the matchup, expecting him to stay under 8.5 rebounds seems prudent-especially at home where he's hit the under in 11 of his last 19 games.

Precious Achiuwa (Sacramento Kings) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings prepare to host the Pelicans, all eyes should be on Precious Achiuwa's rebounding count. While he's had his moments, recent trends suggest he might struggle to surpass the 8.5 mark. Over his last five games, Achiuwa has averaged a solid 11.4 rebounds, but when the home crowd is cheering, that drops to 9.6-a stark contrast to the number we're eyeing.Against the Pelicans, his average sits around 7 rebounds, and even at home, it only nudges up to 7.4. With the odds and model projections hinting at an expected value of just under 8, it seems like a smart play to bet on him staying under this line. Plus, Achiuwa has hit the under in four of his last six home games. With Sacramento looking to control the boards, expect him to see fewer opportunities to rack up those rebounds.

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