Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Thursday 04/16 (Moussa Diabate Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face off against the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, particularly when it comes to his rebounding output. While he's had a strong run lately, averaging 8.6 rebounds over his last five games, the away factor could play a crucial role here. On the road, Diabate's numbers dip slightly, landing at 8 per game. Against the Magic, he's averaged just 7 rebounds in their recent matchups, and while he hit a solid 10.3 in one away game, it's an outlier rather than a trend. With Orlando's size in the paint, we might see Diabate struggle to hit that 10.5 mark. With an expected stat value of just 7.93 and a hit rate of 5 out of his last 6 games suggesting a downward trend, betting the under feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Over 13.5 Points (-123)

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes should be on Brandin Podziemski. The young sharpshooter has been on fire lately, averaging 19 points over his last five games, and even more impressive, he's been lighting it up with an average of 17.6 points in away games. With a solid hit rate of 10 out of his last 11 games, it's clear that he's finding his rhythm at just the right moment.Against the Suns, Podziemski has historically performed well, bumping his average to 14.4 points when playing in hostile territory. With the Warriors needing him to step up in this pivotal matchup, a line set at 13.5 feels too low. Given his current form and the stakes of the game, betting the over on Podziemski's points is a smart play that could pay off handsomely.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)

In the upcoming showdown between the Orlando Magic and Charlotte Hornets, targeting Moussa Diabate for under 17.5 points and rebounds feels like a smart bet. While Diabate has been a solid contributor, his recent averages tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's only managed 6 points and 8.6 rebounds, and those numbers dip even lower to 5.6 points and 8 on the road. Historically, he's struggled against the Hornets, averaging just 7 points and 7 rebounds in recent matchups-10.3 rebounds at away games is decent, but his scoring woes are evident. The pressure of an away game might further impact his production, especially considering that he's hit this under in 5 of his last 6 contests. With all these factors in play, betting on the under seems to align perfectly with how Diabate's performance trajectory has been shaping up.

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 4.5 Threes Made (-143)

As LaMelo Ball steps onto the court against the Orlando Magic, his reputation as a sharpshooter comes with a caveat. Despite a dazzling average of 5.2 threes made over his last five games, the away matchup tells a different story. When you dig deeper, he's only managing to sink 3.8 threes per game on the road against this Magic squad, and he's hit the under in 7 of his last 11 away games. Moreover, facing Orlando, who often tightens up defensively against perimeter shooters, we can expect that number to dip further. His historical performance against them shows he averages just 3.2 threes per game. With an expected stat value of 3.26, the under on 4.5 threes feels like a smart play. LaMelo may dazzle at home, but tonight, the road could be a little bumpier than usual.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (+117)

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, Draymond Green stands out as a prime candidate to exceed the 14.5 combined points and rebounds mark. Sure, his recent averages may not scream "star power," but let's dig a little deeper into his performances, especially away from home. In his last five games on the road, he's been more assertive, averaging 8.8 points and 5.2 rebounds. Against the Suns, his numbers trend upward, with an average of 6.4 points in their last five meetings at Phoenix. Draymond's ability to impact the game beyond just scoring-think assists and defensive plays-can help him reach that combined threshold. With a solid 3 of 4 hit rate in his last away games, it seems likely he'll rise to the occasion. Expect him to play a crucial role, and don't be surprised if he finishes the night comfortably over that 14.5 mark.