Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Thursday 04/16 (Moussa Diabate Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up for their showdown against the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, but don't be surprised if he comes in under 10.5 rebounds. While he's had a solid recent run, averaging 8.6 boards over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story-he's pulling down just 8 rebounds per game. Going against the Magic, whose bigs can be particularly tough, Diabate has averaged only 7 rebounds in their past encounters, and this matchup could be no different. The pressure of playing away seems to have him in a groove of underwhelming rebounding numbers, hitting under this mark in three straight. With an expected stat value of 7.93, it's clear that the numbers are leaning heavily toward the under. So, take a closer look; this could be a profitable play.

Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Over 13.5 Points (-123)

As the Golden State Warriors gear up for their away matchup against the Phoenix Suns, all eyes should be on Brandin Podziemski, particularly when it comes to his scoring. With an average of 19 points over his last five games, Podziemski is hitting his stride just when the Warriors need him. He's not just finding his rhythm, but he's also shown impressive scoring ability away from home, averaging 17.6 points in those last five road games.Against the Suns, he's been steady, trending toward 14.4 points in their recent encounters. It's worth noting that Podziemski has crushed the Over on this line recently, hitting it in 10 of his last 11 games, including three out of four on the road. Given his current form and the way he's been rising to the occasion, betting on him to exceed 13.5 points feels like a smart play.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, betting on Moussa Diabate to fall under 17.5 points and rebounds feels like a savvy move. Diabate has been solid lately but has averaged just 6 points and 8.6 rebounds over his last five games. When you zoom in on his away performances, those figures dip even further to 5.6 points and 8 rebounds. Against the Magic, his numbers tell a similar story, averaging 7 points and 7 rebounds, but notably, he has only hit the 17.5 mark in one of his last six games. With a solid 5/6 overall hit rate recently and a perfect 3/3 away, it's hard to see him breaking through in this matchup. Given the Magic's defensive prowess and Diabate's trends, the under seems like a smart play.

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 4.5 Threes Made (-143)

As LaMelo Ball and the Charlotte Hornets roll into Orlando, we're eyeing a compelling opportunity to capitalize on his shooting performance, specifically targeting the under on 4.5 three-pointers made. While Ball has dazzled with an average of 5.2 threes in his last five games, that figure heavily skews due to favorable matchups. Against the Magic, he's only managed 3.2 threes on average, and even less-3.8-when playing in Orlando.The numbers show he's hit the under in 7 of his last 11 away games, a trend that suggests he often struggles to find his rhythm on the road. With an expected stat value of just 3.26 and an implied probability nudging 58.8% on this under bet, it's clear that a combination of matchup challenges and recent form points to LaMelo likely falling short of that 4.5 mark. Let's ride the under here!

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (+117)

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, Draymond Green stands out as a prime candidate to exceed 14.5 points and rebounds. Over the last four games on the road, he's been particularly effective, averaging nearly 9 points and 5 rebounds. This upward trend is encouraging, considering he's found a rhythm against Phoenix, especially in their recent encounters where he's averaged about 6.4 points per game on the road against them.His ability to contribute on both ends of the court should shine through in this matchup. With the Suns' defensive focus likely centered on the likes of Curry and Klay, Green's versatility will allow him to exploit openings for scoring and crashing the boards. Plus, with a 50% hit rate in his last 18 games, there's solid confidence behind this play. It feels like a moment where Green can step up and deliver, making the over on his points plus rebounds a savvy wager.