Will Riley (Washington Wizards) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When you look at Will Riley's recent performances, it's clear he's been feeling the pressure of playing on the road. Despite hitting threes at a solid clip in his last few games, he faces a tough Wizards squad that thrives on limiting perimeter shots. With an expected output of just 1.15 threes in this matchup, the under on 1.5 feels particularly enticing.Riley has shown vulnerability away from home, hitting the under in all three of his last road games. You have to consider the Jazz's overall game plan; they often rely on ball movement and inside scoring rather than perimeter shooting. With the Wizards' defensive scheme geared towards contesting three-point attempts, it's a perfect storm for Riley to struggle from deep. Given the numbers, betting under 1.5 threes for Riley is a calculated move that aligns well with the current trends and defensive matchups.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to take on the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey, but a closer look suggests he may struggle on the boards tonight. With a projected rebound stat of just 4.72, betting the under on his 5.5 total seems like the smart play. Bailey's recent form shows that he's hit the under in 6 of his last 10 games, and even more telling, he's only grabbed more than 5 rebounds in 7 of his last 20 games at home. The Jazz have a solid lineup that spreads the rebounding duties among multiple players, limiting Bailey's opportunities. Against a Wizards team that can be tricky on the boards but also tends to focus on their own shot-making, don't be surprised if Bailey ends up with a quiet night rebounding. Taking the under here could be a savvy move.

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 4.5 Rebounds (+118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cody Williams has been a critical piece for the Utah Jazz, but when we dig into his rebounding numbers, it's clear that the under on 4.5 boards is worth a look. At home recently, he's averaging just 1.8 rebounds, a stark contrast from his overall 4.4 in the last five games. In fact, against these Wizards, he's only pulling down about 2.3 boards per game, and even less at home-just 1 rebound per game over their last five matchups. With a solid hit rate of 2 out of 3 for the under over his last few games, and his overall home performance showing a concerning trend, it seems the odds are stacked against him. The Jazz's defensive scheme often funnels shots away from the paint, limiting his opportunities to crash the boards. All this points to a strong case for taking the under on Williams' rebounds in this matchup.

John Konchar (Utah Jazz) Under 4.5 Rebounds (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz prepare to host the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on John Konchar, but his rebounding numbers suggest it might be wise to take the under on his prop of 4.5 boards. While Konchar's averaged 5.2 rebounds over his last five games, a closer look reveals that he's been less effective at home, pulling in just 4.4 during that stretch. Against the Wizards, he's managed an impressive average of 6.5 rebounds at home in their last few matchups, but let's not forget the bigger picture: Konchar's hit rate for this under is solid, going just 5 out of 9 recently, and his expected stat value hovers around 3.97. With the Jazz expected to dominate the glass, there's a strong chance Konchar falls short of that 4.5 mark. A calculated bet on the under could pay off nicely.

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