Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 24.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Utah Jazz face off against the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey. However, betting on him to go under 24.5 points looks like the smart play. Despite his undeniable talent, recent trends reveal a stark reality: in his last 20 games, Bailey has hit the 25-point mark just four times, with a home hit rate of 20%-that's a staggering 16 games under this threshold. The Jazz have a well-rounded defensive scheme, particularly at home, which stifles opposing scorers. With an expected stat value of just 17.32 points for this matchup, Bailey's recent performance suggests he may struggle to find his rhythm. Given that the implied probability hovers around 51.8%, it's a calculated gamble to lean toward the under. In a game where the Jazz are likely to control the pace, look for Bailey to fall short of that lofty point total.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 27.5 Points + Assists (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey, but savvy bettors might want to consider the under on his combined points and assists of 27.5. While Bailey has shown flashes of brilliance this season, averaging just under 20 expected stat points in similar matchups, the Wizards' defense has tightened up recently. In fact, Bailey has hit the under in 17 of his last 20 home games, showcasing his struggle to consistently exceed that benchmark in familiar surroundings. With a hit rate of 16 out of 20 for the overall season, it's evident that Bailey has faced challenges against defensively savvy teams. Expect the Wizards to key in on him, making it tough for him to reach that lofty total. In a game where every possession counts, look for Bailey to fall short of that 27.5 mark.

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 17.5 Points (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Cody Williams - but not for the reasons you might expect. While he's had a decent scoring average of 19.6 points over his last five games, it's crucial to note that his production takes a nosedive at home, where he's averaging just 12.6 points. Against the Wizards specifically, he's struggled, putting up only 2 points per game at home in their recent matchups. With a strong trend supporting the Under, hitting in 19 of his last 20 home games, the indicators lean heavily toward a lower output. His expected stat value of just 11.74 points further solidifies this hypothesis. In a game that could play out as a defensive showdown, targeting the Under 17.5 points for Williams seems like a prudent move.

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