Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 24.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz prepare to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey. While he's certainly a talented scorer, targeting the under on his points at 24.5 feels like the play to make. Consider his recent form: over the last 20 games, he's hit that mark just four times. At home, he's been even more subdued, consistently falling below expectations. The Jazz's offensive scheme often spreads the ball around, which can limit Bailey's opportunities to rack up points. Plus, the Wizards' defense has tightened up, making it tough for any opposing player to dominate. With an expected stat value of just 16.75 and a solid hit rate of 80% on the under in recent outings, it's clear that Bailey is likely to have a quieter night. Betting the under on his points could be a savvy move as he faces a challenging matchup this Thursday.

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 17.5 Points (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cody Williams has been a solid contributor for the Utah Jazz, but as they prepare to face the Washington Wizards, it's wise to lean toward the Under on his points total. While his recent average of 19.6 points per game might suggest he's on a scoring tear, a closer look reveals a stark home performance dip. He's only managed 12.6 points at home in his last five games, and against the Wizards-who have stifled him to just 2 points at home in their last encounter-the trend is concerning.Moreover, Williams has hit the Under in a remarkable 19 of his last 20 home games. Considering his expected stat value of 11.68 against an implied probability of 52.1%, the numbers strongly favor the Under here. With the Jazz looking to balance their scoring efforts, it's a savvy play to expect Williams to fall short of that 17.5 mark.

Jamir Watkins (Washington Wizards) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Utah Jazz and Washington Wizards, targeting Jamir Watkins for under 1.5 threes made feels like a savvy move. Sure, Watkins has shown flashes of potential, but his recent performance tells a different story. Over the last five games, he's hit this mark just once, and his away numbers paint an even clearer picture - he's managed only 10 successful threes in his last 20 outings on the road. With the Jazz's defense tightening and their focus on containing perimeter threats, Watkins might find it tough to get open looks. The implied probability of just 52.6% for him to hit two threes suggests that the odds are leaning toward him falling short. Given the statistical trends and defensive matchups, betting the under on Watkins feels like a smart play as he navigates a challenging environment in Utah.

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