Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 18.5 Rebounds + Assists (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up for their matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but I'm sensing an opportunity to bet the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 18.5. Sure, he's been productive lately, averaging around 10 rebounds and nearly 9.2 assists over his last five games. However, his numbers dip when facing the Grizz, with only 8.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists in their last five encounters. At home, those figures shrink further to 5.5 boards and 4 assists. Moreover, Johnson has only hit the mark in 6 of his last 8 games at home, showcasing a pattern where he struggles to eclipse that threshold. With an expected stat value of 14.22, the under seems like a smart play here. The Grizzlies will bring defensive intensity, and I'm betting Johnson won't reach that 18.5 total tonight.

Dyson Daniels (Atlanta Hawks) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Dyson Daniels has been a solid contributor lately, but the matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies might just be a bit too tough for him in this game. Sure, he's been averaging over 10 rebounds and assists combined at home, but the numbers tell a deeper story. While he's notched 8.4 boards and 5.4 assists at home recently, those figures dip when facing Memphis, where he's only managed around 6 combined in their last outings. With the Grizzlies tightening their defensive grip, Daniels has averaged just 2.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists against them in recent matchups. The fact that he's hit the under in 2 of his last 3 games adds to the narrative that 12.5 might be a bridge too far. Expect a strong defensive effort from Memphis to limit his impact, making the under a compelling angle to consider.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Olivier-Maxence Prosper prepares to face the Atlanta Hawks, the task of snagging rebounds against them seems daunting. Historically, he's averaging a mere 3.8 boards in his last five games, and his away performance is only marginally better at 4.2. The matchup against the Hawks adds another layer of difficulty; he's managed just 0.5 rebounds per game against them in his last five encounters, and even on the road, that climbs to just one.With a hit rate of only 13 out of 19 for this under bet and a compelling 16 out of 20 when playing away, the signs are clear: Prosper is unlikely to eclipse that 5.5 mark. Given an expected stat value of 4.67, it's safe to say that targeting the under is a savvy play. As the Grizzlies look to tighten their defensive ship, Prosper could find himself boxed out far more often than not.

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