Best AFL Multi Picks Today, Sunday 09/14 (7-Leg) : High Probability Plays

Tyson Stengle is a strong bet to score anytime in the Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks matchup due to his recent form. With an average of 0.8 goals per game in his last five home games, Stengle has consistently been involved in scoring opportunities, averaging 3.4 shots at goal and 6 score involvements. Against Hawthorn, he has maintained a solid average of 0.7 goals per game. His goal accuracy of 21.3% at home, along with his 1.6 marks inside 50, further support his scoring potential. Given the model's prediction of 1.9 goals for Stengle, indicating an 18.4% edge, the data suggests a high likelihood of him hitting the back of the net in this game.

Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-833)

Logan Morris is a strong bet to score anytime against Collingwood Magpies due to his recent form. With an average of 2.6 goals in his last five away games and a 59.8% goal accuracy, Morris has been consistently finding the big sticks. His involvement in the forward line is notable, averaging 5 score involvements and 4 shots at goal per game. Against Collingwood, he has maintained a high average of 3 goals in their away matchups. With the Magpies' defense vulnerable at times, Morris is poised to capitalize on his scoring opportunities, making him a reliable choice to snag a goal in this AFL showdown at the MCG.

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)

Gryan Miers is a solid pick for the Over 14.5 disposals against Hawthorn at the MCG. With a model prediction of 22.5 disposals and strong recent form, averaging 25.2 disposals in his last five home games, Miers has consistently exceeded this line. His exceptional disposal efficiency (77.4%) and ability to cover ground (379.4 meters gained) make him a reliable choice. Facing Hawthorn, against whom he averages 17 disposals, and boasting an overall hit rate streak of 16/16, Miers is likely to maintain his performance. With a home hit streak of 9/9, his comfort at the MCG further supports this bet.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 19.5 Disposals (-455)

Max Holmes has been a consistent performer, especially at home, with a strong average of 31 disposals in his last five home games. His recent form against Hawthorn also supports this bet, averaging 21 disposals in his last five matchups. With a model predicting him to reach 27 disposals, showing an 11.2% edge, and maintaining a hit streak of 10 at home and 7 overall, Holmes is poised to surpass the 19.5 line comfortably. His ability to win contested possessions, efficient disposal rate, and significant metres gained further strengthen the rationale for this bet.

Jack Gunston (Hawthorn) Over 1.5 Goals (-278)

Jack Gunston has been in exceptional form, averaging 3 goals over his last 5 away games and maintaining a 100% hit rate in his recent away matches. With a solid goal accuracy of 55.6% and an average of 5.2 shots at goal per game, Gunston consistently threatens the opposition's defense. His impressive record of 4.2 goals per game overall and a current hit streak of 8 demonstrate his scoring prowess. Facing Geelong Cats, against whom he averages 1.5 goals in their last 5 encounters, Gunston is well-positioned to continue his goal-scoring streak. The model's prediction of 2.6 goals with a 19.0% edge supports the expectation of Gunston surpassing 1.5 goals in this matchup.

Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-714)

Dayne Zorko's recent form, averaging 25.2 disposals in his last five away games and hitting 27.6 overall, suggests he's in a peak performance phase. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 21.2 disposals away and 22.4 overall, Zorko's consistency is evident. His high disposalefficiency of 86.9% and ability to gain 554.6 meters on average further support his potential to surpass 19.5 disposals. With a current hit streak of 5 and an exceptional hit rate of 17/19 in away games, Zorko's reliability makes the Over 19.5 disposals bet a strong choice for this matchup, especially with the model predicting him to reach 26.7 disposals.