Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Picks : Full Match Breakdown & Bets

Charlie Cameron's recent form suggests a strong likelihood of him snagging a goal in this matchup. With a solid average of 1.4 goals and 2.8 shots at goal per game in his last five away matches, Cameron's attacking prowess is evident. Additionally, facing Collingwood, against whom he has averaged 2 goals in his last five away games, further boosts his scoring potential. His average of 4.2 score involvements and 1 mark inside 50 per game showcase his ability to impact the game close to goal. Considering his consistent goal-scoring record and the model's prediction of 1.3 goals, betting on Charlie Cameron to score anytime appears to be a favorable choice with a 7.5% edge.

Zac Bailey (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-323)

Zac Bailey is a strong pick to score anytime in the Collingwood vs. Brisbane game. With a solid average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games and a goal accuracy of 47.5%, Bailey is a consistent threat in front of the big sticks. He averages 3.8 shots at goal per game, indicating his involvement in attacking plays. Additionally, his 6.4 score involvements per game highlight his impact on the Lions' scoring opportunities. Facing Collingwood, against whom he has averaged 1.8 goals in his last five matchups, Bailey's recent form and historical performance against the opponent make him a promising choice to snag a goal in this game.

Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) Over 19.5 Disposals (-227)

Scott Pendlebury is a solid bet to surpass 19.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG. With a model-predicted average of 22.9 disposals and a 6.0% edge, Pendlebury's recent form supports this pick. In his last five home games, he has averaged 22.8 disposals, displaying consistent performance. Facing the Lions, he has maintained an average of 20.4 disposals, indicating familiarity and success against this opponent. Pendlebury's current hit streak of 6, with a perfect 3/3 hit rate in home games, further boosts confidence in this bet. Expect Pendlebury to continue his reliable midfield presence and comfortably exceed the 19.5 disposals line.

Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Callum Ah Chee's recent form, averaging 13.4 disposals in his last five away games, indicates he's likely to surpass 9.5 disposals against Collingwood. His strong metrics, such as a 67.1% disposal efficiency and 10 kicks per game, suggest he can maintain possession effectively. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 9.8 disposals, further strengthens this bet. Ah Chee's consistency, with a 5-game hit streak and high overall hit rate, demonstrates his reliability. The model's prediction of 14.7 disposals, coupled with a 5.2% edge, supports his potential to exceed the line. Betting on Ah Chee to go over 9.5 disposals seems a sound choice given his recent performances and matchup dynamics.

Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions Win (+119)

The bet on Brisbane Lions to win against Collingwood Magpies is supported by their superior recent performance metrics. In their last 5 away games, Brisbane Lions have averaged more points scored, higher number of clearances, contested possessions, inside 50s, and shots at goal compared to Collingwood's home statistics. Additionally, Brisbane has shown a stronger defense, conceding fewer points on average. With a better margin and overall performance record in their favor, Brisbane Lions' efficient attack and solid defense make them a favorable pick for the 'Match Winner' bet, especially given their recent form and statistical advantages over Collingwood.