Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Shannon Neale is a strong bet to score anytime in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game due to his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and a high goal accuracy of 60.0%, Neale consistently finds the big sticks. His involvement in the Cats' scoring plays is evident with a solid score involvements average of 4.4. Additionally, his ability to take marks inside 50, averaging 2.2, and his frequent shots at goal, averaging 2.6, showcase his attacking threat. Facing the Lions at home, where he has been even more prolific with a 0.7 average against this opponent, Neale is poised to snag a goal, making the Over 0.5 goal scorer bet enticing.
Tyson Stengle (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-476)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tyson Stengle is a solid bet to snag a goal in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions matchup based on his recent performance. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent where he has historically scored 0.8 goals on average, Stengle's goal-scoring form is promising. His average of 3.4 shots at goal and 41.3% goal accuracy at home further support his ability to find the big sticks. With an edge of 13.8% according to the model and an implied probability of 82.6%, Stengle is in a prime position to contribute to the Cats' scoreline at the MCG.
Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Logan Morris is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions clash. With a solid 2.4 goal average in his last five away games and facing an opponent he typically scores well against, averaging 2.7 goals in their recent matchups, Morris is in a favorable position. His impressive goal accuracy of 53.1% on average and active involvement in creating scoring opportunities, evident in his 5.4 score involvements per game, further support his goal-scoring potential. With an edge of 5.8% based on the model's prediction, Morris is poised to split the middle and deliver for Brisbane, making the Over on his anytime goal-scoring a promising bet.
Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Gryan Miers is a solid bet to go Over 14.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at home. With a model prediction of 21.9 disposals and a 5.4% edge, Miers' recent form supports this. In his last 5 home games, he has averaged 24.8 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. His high disposalefficiency of 79.3% and consistent performance with a 10-game hit streak make this bet even more appealing. Facing the Lions, against whom he averages 20.2 disposals at home, Miers is likely to rack up possessions, making the Over a strong choice for this AFL matchup.
Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 19.5 Disposals (-455)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Max Holmes is in top form with an average of 28.8 disposals in his last five home games, well above the set line of 19.5. Facing the Brisbane Lions, he has historically averaged 23.8 disposals against them. With a model predicting 26.5 disposals and a favorable edge of 9.9%, Holmes' recent performances, high disposal efficiency (67.4%), and consistent hit rates make the Over a compelling bet. His ability to win contested possessions (10.2 average) and cover ground (668.2 meters gained) further support this wager. Holmes' current hit streaks of 11 at home and 8 overall indicate a player in peak form, making him a strong contender to surpass the set line.
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