Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 18.5 Rebounds + Assists (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and Memphis Grizzlies, targeting Jalen Johnson for under 18.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like the right play. Johnson's recent performances show he's been solid, averaging 10 rebounds and nearly 9.2 assists over his last five games. However, the numbers against Memphis tell a different story. At home, his contributions dip slightly, with averages of just 5.5 rebounds and 4 assists against this opponent. Considering he's hit this under in 6 of his last 8 home games, it's clear he struggles against the Grizzlies' defense. Their ability to limit opposing players makes it even tougher for Johnson to exceed his averages. With an expected stat value of just 14.22, the under seems like a savvy choice. As the Hawks look to tighten things up at home, expect Johnson to fall short of that 18.5 mark.

Josh Giddey (Chicago Bulls) Under 9.5 Assists (+107)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Chicago Bulls gear up to face the Houston Rockets, targeting Josh Giddey for under 9.5 assists feels like a smart play. Sure, Giddey has been impressive lately, averaging 12 assists over his last five games. However, when we dive deeper into his performance against the Rockets, the narrative shifts. He's managed only 4.8 assists per game against them in their last five matchups, and even less at home, averaging just 5.8. While Giddey has excelled recently, the Bulls' defense could disrupt his rhythm, particularly as they focus on limiting his playmaking. With a hit rate of 8 out of 11 at home, this matchup suggests he may struggle to reach that 9.5 mark. All signs point towards a more subdued performance, making the under bet not just tempting, but a potential winning ticket.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 21.5 Points + Assists (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Lakers, Daniss Jenkins finds himself in a unique spotlight. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, his recent performance suggests a dip in scoring and playmaking. Over the last 20 games, he's hit the Under on points plus assists a staggering 18 times, showcasing a trend that's hard to ignore. At home, he's even more subdued, hitting the Under 19 out of 20 times. With a projected stat value around 13.89, it's clear that Jenkins may struggle to eclipse that 21.5 mark against a Lakers team known for their defensive intensity. Plus, with the pressure of the matchup, he might be more inclined to facilitate rather than score. Given the trends and the statistical backing, banking on Jenkins to stay under 21.5 feels like a savvy play in this contest.

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