Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Monday 03/23 (5-Leg) : Beat the Books

As we gear up for the matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the Portland Trail Blazers, Deni Avdija's prop bet for under 45.5 points, rebounds, and assists stands out as a smart play. Avdija has shown flashes of potential, but on the road, his numbers take a noticeable dip. In his last five away games, he's averaging just 20 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 4.8 assists-far from the lofty total we're targeting. Against the Nuggets, his historical performance continues this trend, where he averages only 9.6 points and 4.8 rebounds away from home. With a hit rate of 9 out of his last 10 away games falling under this threshold, the odds suggest that he'll struggle yet again in Denver's tough atmosphere. The combination of these stats paints a compelling picture for an under bet on Avdija, making it a solid choice for savvy bettors.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 38.5 Points + Rebounds (-294)

As Deni Avdija heads into the match against the Denver Nuggets, there's compelling reason to consider the under on his combined points and rebounds at 38.5. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, his recent performances-averaging just 20 points and 6.2 rebounds on the road-paint a different picture. Against the Nuggets, Avdija's numbers drop even further, with an average of just 9.6 points and 4.8 boards when playing away.In his last 11 road games, he's managed to hit the over only once, showcasing a consistent trend of underperformance. With an impressive hit rate of 18 out of 19 for the under in his overall stats, it's hard to ignore this pattern. Given the formidable Nuggets lineup that often stifles opposing offenses, it looks like a solid bet to take the under on Avdija's total tonight.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 11.5 Assists (-233)

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic's assist numbers. While his overall average sits at a solid 11.6 over his last five games, the trend indicates he's been more reserved at home, averaging just 10.8 assists. Notably, against the Trail Blazers, he's averaged only 8.4 assists in their recent matchups, dropping to 9.4 when playing at home. With a hit rate of 8 out of 11 for hitting the under in this setting, it seems Jokic may focus more on scoring and rebounding rather than playmaking. The odds are leaning heavily towards the under, reflecting an implied probability of nearly 70%. In a game where he's likely to find himself more as a scorer, betting on Jokic to finish below 11.5 assists feels like a savvy play.

Donovan Clingan (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 14.5 Rebounds (-435)

As the Trail Blazers gear up to take on the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Donovan Clingan, but betting the under on his rebounds at 14.5 might be a savvy move. While he's been impressive lately, averaging 13.2 boards over his last five games, he's actually pulled down just 12.8 on the road. Facing the Nuggets, a team that excels in limiting second-chance opportunities, Clingan's numbers against them drop further to an average of 10.6 rebounds, and even when playing away, that jumps to a modest 13.5.With his recent form showing a clean sweep of hitting the under in his last three games, the context of this matchup suggests he may struggle to maintain that high output. The Nuggets' strong rebounding presence could force Clingan to focus more on defense, making the under a compelling choice. The stats tell a story of caution, and that's where the value lies.