Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Monday 04/06 (7-Leg) Featuring LeBron James!: High Probability Plays

As the Lakers roll into Dallas, all eyes will be on LeBron James, but a closer look at the numbers suggests he might not hit the mark on assists tonight. Playing away from home, LeBron has averaged just 7 assists in his last five games, and against the Mavericks, he's been even less prolific, averaging just 6 assists on the road. With the Mavericks' defense focusing on limiting his playmaking, it's easy to see why the under on 11.5 assists feels like the right call. In fact, LeBron has only surpassed this mark once in his last 20 games away, hitting the under a staggering 20 consecutive times in that span. The implied probability of 76.3% suggests that this trend isn't just a coincidence; it's a pattern. As such, betting on LeBron to finish below 11.5 assists seems like a savvy move tonight.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 50.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-357)

As LeBron James and the Lakers head to Dallas, it's crucial to consider his recent performance trends. Over the last five games, he's averaged just 17 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 7.4 assists, which totals around 31.6 combined. Even when you look at his away numbers, they're not particularly stellar-averaging 15.8 points, 9 rebounds, and 7 assists. Now, against the Mavericks, he's historically been strong, but those trips to Dallas haven't been as productive lately, with his away averages dropping to 26.4 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists. With an expected stat value of just 34.75 and a hit rate of 20 for 20 on the Under in the last 20 games, targeting LeBron to stay under 50.5 feels like a savvy play. As the game unfolds, it's hard to see him breaking through that threshold, especially given

Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Over 14.5 Points (-312)

When it comes to betting on Stephen Curry, the numbers don't lie, especially against the Rockets. With the Warriors hosting Houston, Curry's been on an absolute tear lately-averaging 26 points over his last five games. At home, he's been even more electric, putting up nearly 20 points per game. Curry has a remarkable track record against the Rockets, consistently hitting that 19-point mark, and with a perfect 6-for-6 hit rate in his last six outings, the confidence in his scoring ability is sky-high. Given the stakes of this matchup, expect him to rise to the occasion. With an expected stat value of 28.26 and a solid implied probability of 75.8%, it's hard to ignore the potential here. Bet on Curry to surpass that 14.5 points threshold and watch him light up the scoreboard as only he knows how!

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 22.5 Points + Assists (-323)

When the Lakers roll into Dallas, all eyes will be on Luke Kennard, but I'm betting he struggles to make an impact. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 8.2 points and 1.8 assists, and the numbers dip even lower on the road, with only 6.8 points and 1.4 assists. Facing a Mavericks defense that tightens up at home, Kennard's typical output shrinks significantly; he's averaged just 4.6 points and 1.8 assists in his last five outings against them away. What's more, Kennard's hit rate for the Under is remarkable-he's gone under 22.5 points plus assists in every one of his last 20 games, and that includes a perfect 15-for-15 on the road. With the Mavericks looking to contain him, it's hard to see him breaking out for a big night. This matchup screams value on the Under.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 31.5 Points (-333)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Mavericks, all eyes will be on LeBron James. However, betting on him to top 31.5 points may not be the wisest choice. In his last five games, LeBron has averaged just 17 points overall, dipping to 15.8 points in away contests. Historically, while he has performed well against Dallas, his recent form shows a stark contrast, with an average of 20.6 points against them, which drops to 26.4 when away.Moreover, LeBron has hit the under in all of his last 20 games, a statistic that's hard to ignore. With the Mavericks' defense tightening and LeBron's scoring touch currently waning, backing the under looks like a smart play. Expect him to be more of a facilitator, especially given the implications of this matchup. In this environment, hitting that 31.5 mark seems unlikely.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-303)

As Luke Kennard steps onto the court against the Mavericks, the numbers suggest a quiet night is in store for him. His recent performances paint a clear picture: over the last five games, he's averaging just 8.2 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 1.8 assists. When he's away, those numbers dip further to 6.8 points and an even lower 1.4 assists. In fact, against Dallas, Kennard has struggled historically, averaging only 4.6 points on the road. With the Mavericks' defense tightening up and Kennard's overall contribution diminishing, it's hard to see him surpassing the 25.5 mark for points, rebounds, and assists. With an impeccable track record of going under in his last 20 away games, it's a safe bet to expect another subdued outing from him this Sunday.