Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Tuesday 04/07 (5-Leg) Featuring Victor Wembanyama!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

Looking at Jalen Johnson's recent performances, it's compelling to back the Under on his combined rebounds and assists for this matchup against the New York Knicks. While he's been impressive at home, averaging 10.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists over his last five games, the numbers tell a different story when it comes to this specific opponent. He's averaged just 12.2 rebounds and 8.2 assists against the Knicks, both lower than his impressive overall averages. Moreover, Johnson's home dominance has been noteworthy, but let's not forget his recent efficiency: he's hit the Under in 7 of his last 8 outings and 8 out of 10 at home. With an expected stat value of just 14.5, it's clear that the 20.5 mark feels a bit high. Given the Knicks' defensive tenacity, expect Johnson to fall short of this combined total tonight.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 46.5 Points + Rebounds (-278)

As the San Antonio Spurs prepare to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but we might want to consider a different angle. Sure, he's been a dominant force, averaging an impressive 31.6 points and 16.4 rebounds over his last five games. However, against the Sixers, his numbers dip to a more modest 25.5 points and 10.5 rebounds. At home, while his numbers slightly improve, it's still telling that he's hit the under in 15 of his last 20 games. The Spurs' game plan might lean towards efficiency over volume, especially given the Sixers' strong defensive front. All signs point to Wembanyama staying under that 46.5 mark, and with his recent trends aligning with a lower output against this opponent, betting the under looks like a smart play.

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 23.5 Points (-270)

When it comes to Joel Embiid, betting on him to score over 23.5 points feels almost like a no-brainer, especially for this upcoming matchup against the Spurs. The big man has been an absolute scoring machine lately, averaging 27 points over his last five games and ramping it up even further to 30 on the road. San Antonio hasn't been able to stop him, with Embiid dropping an astonishing 38 points in their last five encounters. What's more, he's been on fire away from home, hitting that over in all seven of his last road games. With a remarkable hit rate of 15 out of 16 in his last outings, it's clear he's in a rhythm. Considering the Spurs' struggles defensively, expect Embiid to not only meet but exceed that point total, making the over a tempting play here.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 9.5 Assists (-135)

When LeBron James steps onto the court, all eyes are on him, but let's take a closer look at how the assist numbers stack up against the Oklahoma City Thunder. While he's capable of dazzling playmaking, recent trends suggest he might fall short of the 9.5 assists mark. Over the last five games, LeBron has averaged just 8.6 assists, and at home, that dips to 7.6, underscoring a subtle but telling trend in his distribution.Against the Thunder, he's averaged only 5.6 assists in their recent matchups, and even at home, that figure barely rises to 6.6. With an impressive hit rate of 16 out of 20 on the under, including 8 of his last 9 games at home, it seems prudent to believe he won't eclipse that 9.5 threshold tonight. The numbers tell a story of careful passing rather than a free-flowing assist fest, making the under on Le