Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Wednesday 04/08 (7-Leg) Featuring Luke Kennard!: High Probability Plays

When the Lakers take on the Thunder, all eyes will be on Luke Kennard, but not for the reasons you might think. While he's a solid player, the numbers suggest he's likely to struggle to hit the over on 6.5 assists. In his last five games, Kennard averaged just 3.6 assists per game, but even more telling is his home performance, where he's only dished out an average of 1.6 assists. Against the Thunder, he's been even less effective, averaging just 2.8 assists at home. Historically, Kennard has been a reliable under bet, hitting the under in 19 of his last 20 games, and remarkably, he's hit the under in every home game during that stretch. With the Lakers facing a competitive Thunder squad, expect Kennard's facilitating opportunities to dwindle. Taking the under on 6.5 feels like a smart play here.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 25.5 Points + Assists (-312)

In the upcoming clash between the Lakers and the Thunder, targeting Luke Kennard for under 25.5 points and assists seems like a savvy play. Despite being at home, Kennard's recent numbers tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 9.6 points and 3.6 assists. Even more telling is his home performance-he's only managed 6.4 points and 1.6 assists on his own court. Against the Thunder, he's struggled too, averaging a mere 4.6 points and 2.8 assists at home. Historically, Kennard has hit the under in 19 of his last 20 games, and he's a perfect 20 for 20 at home in that span. With the Lakers likely leaning on their stars in such a crucial matchup, it's hard to see Kennard surpassing that 25.5 mark. The odds favor this under, and the numbers back it up.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 34.5 Points (-333)

As the Dallas Mavericks take on the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting the under on his points at 34.5 is the savvy move. Despite being a rising star, Flagg has recently averaged only 30.2 points over his last five games, dipping to 23.4 on the road. The Clippers' defense is no walk in the park, and Flagg's past performances against them reveal a trend-he's scored just 23 points on average in their last encounters.Moreover, he's had a stellar hitting rate overall, but when we narrow it down to away games, he's consistently fallen short, hitting the under in all 20 of his last away appearances. With an implied probability of nearly 77% for this under bet, it's hard to ignore the numbers. Expect a competitive game, but Flagg likely won't eclipse that lofty point total.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-345)

As Cooper Flagg gears up for this clash against the Clippers, the numbers suggest a compelling case for taking the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 48.5. While he's been a force at home, averaging 30.2 points and an impressive 6.2 rebounds over his last five games, his away stats tell a different story. On the road, his scoring dips to about 23.4 points, and his assist numbers fall even further, averaging just 2 per game against the Mavericks.Flagg's recent form against this opponent indicates he typically scores around 23 points, with a modest 6.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists. With an overall hit rate of 18 out of 20 and a perfect 12 out of 12 on the road, it's clear that Flagg's performance tends to cool off away from home. The implied probability of 77.5% reinforces the belief that this under is a savvy play.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 40.5 Points + Assists (-345)

As the Mavericks gear up to host the Clippers, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting on him to exceed 40.5 points plus assists feels risky. While Flagg has been a standout, averaging 30.2 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games, his away performances tell a different story. On the road, those numbers drop to 23.4 points and 6 assists. Against the Mavericks, he's averaged just 23 points and a mere 2 assists in his previous away encounters, highlighting a challenging matchup. With a staggering 20-for-20 hit rate on the under recently, it's clear Flagg struggles to find his rhythm in Dallas. The expected stat value sits around 25.4, far below that lofty 40.5 mark. Given the defensive prowess of the Mavericks, betting on Cooper Flagg to fall short in this game seems like a savvy play.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds (-345)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Thunder, all eyes are on Luke Kennard. While he's been a solid contributor, recent trends suggest he might struggle to reach that 25.5 points plus rebounds mark. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 9.6 points and 5.4 rebounds-numbers that simply don't add up to the lofty prop bet. At home, this trend continues, with only 6.4 points and 1.8 rebounds, which paints a clear picture of his diminishing impact in front of the home crowd.Moreover, Kennard's history against the Thunder isn't encouraging, averaging a mere 7 points and 2.2 rebounds in their last five encounters at home. With a remarkable hit rate of 20 for 20 in his last home games, it's hard to ignore the likelihood of him falling under that 25.5 threshold. In this matchup, the under seems not just probable, but inevitable.