Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Wednesday 04/08 (7-Leg) : High Probability Plays

As the Dallas Mavericks travel to face the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but here's why betting the Under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 47.5 could be the smart move. Flagg's recent form shows he averages just over 30 points, 6 rebounds, and 3.6 assists-a solid performance, yet not enough to breach this hefty total. Playing away, his stats dip slightly, with averages of 23.4 points and notably lower assist numbers-just 2 per game against this opponent. In fact, against the Clippers, he's consistently found himself in the low 30s for combined stats, which aligns with a hit rate of 12/12 for the Under in his last away games. Given the Clippers' defensive prowess and Flagg's recent dip in production on the road, it's hard to see him crossing that 47.5 threshold.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 25.5 Points + Assists (-323)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Thunder, all eyes are on Luke Kennard, but a prop bet on him to go under 25.5 points and assists feels like a savvy move. Over his last five outings, Kennard has averaged just 9.6 points and 3.6 assists, struggling to find his rhythm on the court. At home, those numbers dip to a mere 6.4 points and 1.6 assists. Against the Thunder, he's managed only 7 points and 3 assists in their last five matchups, while his home performance against them is even less impressive at 4.6 points and 2.8 assists. When you consider he's hit the under in 19 of his last 20 games overall and has a perfect home hit rate, it paints a clear picture. Expect a subdued performance from Kennard as he navigates a tough matchup, making the under a compelling play.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 39.5 Points + Assists (-323)

As we gear up for the Clippers vs. Mavericks showdown, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg. While he's been impressive lately, we're leaning towards the Under 39.5 for his combined points and assists. Statistically, Flagg has averaged around 30.2 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games, but those figures drop considerably to 23.4 points and 6 assists when he's on the road. Historically, Flagg's performance against the Mavericks shows he averages just 23 points and 3.3 assists, which suggests a tough matchup. Plus, his away games have seen him hit the Under in all of his last 20 outings. Given that his expected contribution for this game hovers around 25.4, we're banking on the numbers to work in our favor. Flagg may shine at home, but against Dallas away, the Under feels like a solid play.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 34.5 Points (-357)

When it comes to Cooper Flagg's scoring in away games, recent trends tell a compelling story. While he's been a force on the court, averaging 30.2 points over his last five games, the environment of an away matchup against the Los Angeles Clippers might not be ideal for him to eclipse 34.5 points. Particularly noteworthy is his average of just 23.4 points in away contests, and he's consistently faced tough defenses, averaging only 23 points against the Clippers. In fact, his performance against this opponent away from home shows a sharp decline, with an average of 35 points overall but just 21.88 expected, hinting at a potential downturn. With an impressive 20/20 away hit rate in his last 20 games, it's clear he's capable of scoring, but the under seems prudent here. Expect a game where Flagg might find it challenging to hit that lofty mark, making the under a smart play.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-333)

As the Lakers gear up to host the Thunder, all eyes should be on Luke Kennard, but not for the reasons you might expect. With a prop bet of under 30.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists, there's compelling evidence supporting this play. In his last five games, Kennard has averaged just 9.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists-well below that threshold. At home, those figures dip even further, with him averaging just 6.4 points and a paltry 1.8 rebounds. Historically, Kennard struggles against the Thunder; he's only managed around 4.6 points per game against them at home. Given his overall hit rate of 20 for 20 at home, it's clear he hasn't been able to elevate his game in front of the home crowd. The numbers suggest a quiet night, making the under on Kennard's prop a savvy play for this matchup.

Jeremiah Fears (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

When the New Orleans Pelicans take the court against the Utah Jazz, all eyes will be on Jeremiah Fears. While he's undeniably talented, the numbers suggest that tonight might not be his night for a big stat line. Fears has been on a roll, yet in his last 20 games, he's hit the Under on points, rebounds, and assists a staggering 19 times. At home, he's yet to breach that 37.5 mark, going 20 for 20 in hitting the Under in front of his home crowd. The matchup with the Jazz, known for their disciplined defense, could further stymie his contributions. With an expected stat value hovering around 21.88, it's hard to envision him surpassing that threshold. As the Pelicans look to secure a win, Fears may find himself playing a more supportive role, making the Under a smart play in this one.