Deep dive into Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Zach Eflin (BAL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Zach Eflin for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Eflin has averaged 4.8 hits allowed overall and 3.8 hits allowed when playing away. Against the Red Sox, his hits allowed average increases to 5.8. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also suggest he's likely to give up more than 2.5 hits. His overall IP average is 5.6 and when playing away, it's 5.9. Against the Red Sox, his IP average is slightly lower at 5.4, but still suggests he's on the mound long enough to concede more than 2.5 hits. These statistics, coupled with his current hit streaks, make the Over 2.5 bet a rational choice.
Zach Eflin (BAL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Zach Eflin has been consistently performing above the line of 2.5 strikeouts in his recent games. His last five overall averages show 2.8 strikeouts per game, which is above the line. When playing away, his strikeout average increases to 3.2, further strengthening the rationale for betting over. Moreover, his performance against the Boston Red Sox specifically has been impressive, with an average of 5.2 strikeouts in the last five games. This suggests a strong possibility of Eflin surpassing the 2.5 strikeouts line. His innings pitched and outs averages also indicate a high level of activity on the mound, which translates into more opportunities for strikeouts. Therefore, based on Eflin's recent performances, betting over 2.5 strikeouts is a statistically sound choice.
Cedric Mullins (BAL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Cedric Mullins for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically sound due to his recent performance data. Mullins has not stolen any bases in his last five overall and away games, and his average stolen bases against the opponent and in away games are 0.4 and 0.2 respectively, both of which are under the line of 0.5. Furthermore, he has not been caught stealing in his last five games, indicating a cautious approach to base stealing. Despite his current hit streaks, these do not directly correlate with stolen bases. Therefore, given his recent low stolen base averages, the under 0.5 bet for Mullins is a logical choice.