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Brentford vs Fulham Prediction & Picks (EPL) : Stat-Based Insights

Predictions

Written By Javier Morales May 11th | 06:43 PM GMT
Brentford vs Fulham Prediction & Picks (EPL) : Stat-Based Insights

Latest EPL betting preview: Brentford vs Fulham. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: EPL predictions, EPL game picks, soccer betting preview, Brentford vs Fulham stats and odds.

Brentford vs Fulham: Fulham +1.5 Goal Handicap (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting enthusiasts, gear up for an exciting English Premier League encounter as Brentford takes on Fulham on Sunday, May 18, 2025. Our focus today is on the 'alternate spreads' market, specifically the Fulham 1.5 bet offered by the bookmaker, Fanduel, at decimal odds of 1.34, or American odds of -294.12. This implies a probability of 74.6%, supporting the model edge of 9.2%. Recent performance data suggests this bet could be a fruitful one. Fulham's Away L5 Overall Team Score Avg is 1.2, and their Away L5 HA Team Score Avg is even higher at 1.6, indicating a strong offensive performance. Their Away L5 HA Opp Score Avg of 1.2 also suggests a solid defence. Brentford, on the other hand, has struggled at home, with a Home L5 HA Team Score Avg of only 0.6 and a Home Record Wdl Ha L5 of 0-2-3. The recent head-to-head stats are evenly matched with both teams recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 encounters. Therefore, the Fulham 1.5 bet, considering the team's recent form and Brentford's struggles at home, could be a promising betting angle.

Brentford vs Fulham: Both Teams To Score: No (+133)

Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing

The upcoming Brentford vs Fulham match, slated for Sunday, May 18, 2025, presents a compelling betting opportunity, especially for those keen on the 'btts' (both teams to score) market. BetRivers is currently offering attractive decimal odds of 2.33 (American odds: 133) on the outcome 'No' in this market, indicating that both teams may not find the back of the net. This selection boasts an implied probability of 42.9% and a model edge of 3.8%. Analyzing the teams' recent performances can help justify this betting angle. Brentford's home L5 overall team score average is 1.6, but their home L5 HA (home against) team score average drops to 0.6, suggesting a struggle to score when at home. Meanwhile, Fulham's away L5 overall and HA team score averages are 1.2 and 1.6 respectively, indicating some inconsistency in their away scoring. Moreover, both teams' recent xG (expected goals) averages don't present a promising scoring picture either. Brentford's home L5 overall team xG average is 1.2 and Fulham's away L5 overall team xG average is 1, suggesting some difficulty in converting chances into goals. Considering these stats, a 'No' bet on the 'btts' market could hold significant value. Make sure to place your bets at BetRivers to capitalize on this opportunity.

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