John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 19.5 Disposals (-400)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
John Noble is primed to surpass 19.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form and matchup history. With a strong average of 24 disposals in his last five away games and a consistent hit streak, Noble is set to shine. His performance metrics, including effective disposals, kicks, and uncontested possessions, align with his model's prediction of 26.5, indicating a 12.0% edge. Facing an opponent where he typically exceeds 18.8 disposals, Noble's recent form, highlighted by solid contested possessions and metres gained, further supports this bet. Additionally, his high disposalefficiency and minimal turnovers enhance the likelihood of him meeting or surpassing this line.
Brayden Fiorini (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Brayden Fiorini is poised to excel against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 22.2 disposals in his last five away games, surpassing the 14.5 line seems highly probable. Fiorini's consistency is evident, boasting an impressive 78.5% disposal efficiency and an average of 11.8 kicks and 10.4 handballs per game. His ability to gain 300.8 meters on average further solidifies his potential impact. Against the upcoming opponent, he has maintained a high average of 22 disposals. With a strong hit rate of 18/19 in away games, backing Fiorini to exceed 14.5 disposals is a sound bet, supported by his recent performance trends and matchup statistics.
Bailey Humphrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-500)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Bailey Humphrey presents a strong case to snag a goal in the upcoming game based on his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five away matches and facing a team where his average against them is 0.5 goals, Humphrey's goal-scoring consistency is notable. His 36.3% goal accuracy and 2.6 shots on goal per game further support his ability to convert opportunities. Additionally, his involvement in scoring plays with an average of 6.6 score involvements per game showcases his impact in the forward line. Given the model's prediction of 1.4 goals and the implied probability of 83.3%, betting on Bailey Humphrey to score anytime seems a promising choice for this AFL matchup.
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