Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies Prediction & Same Game Multi picks Key Insights: Our Expert Analysis

Adam Cerra is poised to shine in this matchup based on his strong recent performances. With an impressive average of 24.8 disposals in his last five home games and a 27 disposal average against Collingwood, he is likely to surpass the set line of 19.5. Cerra's consistency in contested possessions, disposals, and kicks, combined with his high disposal efficiency at 70.0%, indicates he can exploit Collingwood's defense. His ability to gain meters and create turnovers will further boost his disposals tally. Despite not having a current hit streak, his reliability, especially with a hit rate of 13/15 in the last games, makes the Over 19.5 disposals bet on Adam Cerra a solid choice for this AFL game.

Harry Perryman (Collingwood) Over 9.5 Disposals (-588)

Harry Perryman is a solid choice for the Over 9.5 disposals bet. With a model prediction of 15.1, Perryman's recent form supports this, averaging 14.8 disposals in his last five away games and hitting an impressive overall hit rate of 9/9. Against Carlton, he averages 14.5 disposals in his last five away matchups, indicating a consistent performance level. Perryman's trend of 3 consecutive hit games away and 9 overall further solidifies his reliability. His well-rounded stats like kicks (9.6) and uncontested possessions (9.4) suggest he's actively involved in play, making him likely to surpass the 9.5 disposals mark, especially given the model's 1.5% edge and strong implied probability of 85.5%.