Winning bets for Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA disposals/goals. Explore same game multi, SGM picks, AFL multi odds.
Brody Mihocek (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-833)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Brody Mihocek is a strong bet to score anytime against Carlton based on his recent form. With an average of 1.8 goals in his last five away games, Mihocek has been consistent in finding the big sticks. His goal accuracy of 66.7% and high involvement in scores, averaging 4.6 score involvements per game, indicate he is a key forward for Collingwood. Additionally, his past performance against Carlton, averaging 1.3 goals in their matchups, further supports his scoring potential. Mihocek's ability to generate shots at goal, averaging 3.2 per game, enhances his chances of hitting the scoreboard. Overall, Mihocek's recent goal-scoring prowess and track record against Carlton make him a favorable pick for this bet.
Adam Cerra (Carlton) Over 19.5 Disposals (-455)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Adam Cerra is poised to shine in this matchup based on his strong recent performances. With an impressive average of 24.8 disposals in his last five home games and a 27 disposal average against Collingwood, he is likely to surpass the set line of 19.5. Cerra's consistency in contested possessions, disposals, and kicks, combined with his high disposal efficiency at 70.0%, indicates he can exploit Collingwood's defense. His ability to gain meters and create turnovers will further boost his disposals tally. Despite not having a current hit streak, his reliability, especially with a hit rate of 13/15 in the last games, makes the Over 19.5 disposals bet on Adam Cerra a solid choice for this AFL game.
Harry Perryman (Collingwood) Over 9.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Harry Perryman is a solid choice for the Over 9.5 disposals bet. With a model prediction of 15.1, Perryman's recent form supports this, averaging 14.8 disposals in his last five away games and hitting an impressive overall hit rate of 9/9. Against Carlton, he averages 14.5 disposals in his last five away matchups, indicating a consistent performance level. Perryman's trend of 3 consecutive hit games away and 9 overall further solidifies his reliability. His well-rounded stats like kicks (9.6) and uncontested possessions (9.4) suggest he's actively involved in play, making him likely to surpass the 9.5 disposals mark, especially given the model's 1.5% edge and strong implied probability of 85.5%.
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★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
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