Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 28.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Cavaliers host the Hawks, all eyes should be on Donovan Mitchell. Playing at home, he's a scoring machine, averaging a robust 28 points in his last five games at Cleveland. The Hawks have struggled to contain him, with Mitchell dropping an impressive 30.6 points per game against them when playing at home. His current trend is hard to ignore: he's cleared the 28.5 mark in six of his last eight outings, and three of his last four at home. Plus, he's not just a scorer; he's contributed solidly on the boards, pulling down about 4.6 rebounds against Atlanta in that same timeframe. With the pressure of a playoff push, expect Mitchell to elevate his game even further. Betting on him to go over 28.5 points and rebounds feels like a smart play, especially given his hot streak and the favorable matchup.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 9.5 Rebounds (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Hawks roll into Cleveland, keep an eye on Jalen Johnson's rebounding numbers, particularly the under on 9.5. While he's been solid overall with an average of 10.6 boards in his last five outings, his away performance tells a different tale. Johnson has averaged just 8.8 rebounds on the road, and against the Cavaliers specifically, he's pulling down a mere 7.7 rebounds when playing away. The Cavaliers are a formidable rebounding team, limiting opponents' second-chance opportunities, and Johnson's hit rate of under 9.5 in road games stands at 3 out of his last 5. With an expected stat value of just 8.9 and a 49.5% implied probability, this feels like a smart spot to take the under. Given the matchup dynamics, betting on Johnson to stay under 9.5 rebounds could be a wise play in this pivotal game.

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