Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Hawks head into Cleveland, Jalen Johnson's recent performances suggest we should lean toward the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 17.5. Over his last five games, he's averaging 10.6 rebounds and 6.6 assists, but those numbers dip on the road, where he averages just 8.8 rebounds and 6.8 assists. Against the Cavaliers-who are particularly tough on the boards-Johnson has managed only 7.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game when playing away. With a hit rate of just 2 out of his last 3 games on the road, it's clear the Cleveland defense will make it tough for him to reach that 17.5 mark. Given the implied probability of 55.6%, the under is a smart play here, as Johnson's numbers simply don't align with the challenge he faces against a strong Cavs squad.

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 9.5 Points (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers gear up to face the Atlanta Hawks, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill, especially when it comes to his scoring. With an impressive average of 12.2 points over his last five games, Merrill is not just finding his groove; he's thriving at home, averaging 10.8 points in that same span. What's even more compelling is his perfect mark of 3-for-3 in hitting double digits at home recently. The Hawks might seem like a favorable matchup, but Merrill has proven he can elevate his game, even against tougher opponents, logging 8 points against Atlanta on average. With our models suggesting he should net around 13.71 points, we're confident he'll surpass the 9.5 mark. With a hit rate of 8 out of his last 10 games, there's a solid narrative for this prop bet. Let's ride the wave and back Merrill to deliver.

Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 24.5 Points (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Donovan Mitchell is primed for a standout performance against the Atlanta Hawks, especially with the game taking place at home where he thrives. Over his last five games at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, he's averaging a scorching 28 points, consistently rising to the occasion on his home court. When facing the Hawks, Mitchell's scoring takes another leap-30.6 points per game in their recent matchups at home. His overall trend is compelling too; hitting the over 24.5 points in 75% of his last eight games speaks volumes about his current form. With an expected stat value nudging up to 28.56, it's clear he's not just hitting this mark but potentially exceeding it. The Cavaliers will rely on him to lead the charge, making this prop bet feel like a savvy play as he looks to capitalize on favorable conditions against a Hawks defense that's struggled to contain him.

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