Deep dive into Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Jamie Elliott. Check out AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints stats and odds.
Jamie Elliott (Collingwood) Over 1.5 Goals (-270)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jamie Elliott is poised to shine with a strong trend of 3 goals on average in his last 5 home games, indicating a potent scoring form. His impressive 55.3% goal accuracy and notable involvement in scoring opportunities, with an average of 8 score involvements, make him a key threat. Facing St Kilda, against whom he has averaged 1 goal in his last 5 matchups at home, Elliott's consistency and home advantage suggest he's likely to snag more than 1.5 goals. With his recent solid performance, the model's prediction of 2.2 goals aligns well with his track record, providing a compelling argument for betting on Jamie Elliott to score over 1.5 goals in this AFL clash.
Mason Wood (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-192)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Mason Wood is a strong bet to score anytime against Collingwood based on his recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games and facing an opponent where he averages 0.3 goals against, Wood's attacking prowess is evident. His goal accuracy of 36.7% and involvement in 5 scoring plays per game make him a reliable threat in the forward line. Additionally, his average of 1.6 shots on goal per game and 0.8 marks inside 50 showcase his ability to create scoring opportunities. Considering these stats and the model's prediction of 1 goal with a 7.4% edge, the odds favor Wood snagging a goal in this matchup.
Marcus Windhager (St Kilda) Over 14.5 Disposals (-500)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Marcus Windhager is poised to shine against Collingwood Magpies based on his recent stellar form. With a model-predicted 20.6 disposals, a significant edge, and a consistent hit streak, Windhager's L5 performance showcases his ability to exceed the line of 14.5 disposals. His average of 21 disposals in away games, coupled with facing an opponent he historically outperforms in disposals, solidifies this bet. Windhager's proficiency in contested possessions, disposals efficiency at 67.0%, and impressive 11.8 kicks per game further support his capability to control the midfield and surpass the set line. Expect Windhager to maintain his dominance and secure a comfortable over on disposals in this matchup.
Jack Steele (St Kilda) Over 19.5 Disposals (-222)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jack Steele is poised to shine against Collingwood based on his recent form. With an L5 average of 18.8 disposals in away games, including a solid 27 disposals against this opponent, he's comfortably above the 19.5 line. His exceptional disposal efficiency (73.1%) and ability to cover ground (240.2 metres gained on average) further support this bet. Steele's consistent performance, especially with a hit streak of 3 and an overall hit rate of 3/3, indicates a high likelihood of surpassing the line. These factors, combined with the model's 22.6 prediction and a 4.3% edge, make backing Steele to go over 19.5 disposals a compelling choice for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.
Tim Membrey (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-625)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tim Membrey is a solid pick to score anytime in the Collingwood vs. St Kilda game due to his recent form. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last five games and a high score involvement rate of 4.8, Membrey is consistently in the thick of the action. His accuracy of 46.7% and ability to mark inside 50 twice per game also enhance his goal-scoring potential. The model's prediction of 1.5 goals, with a standard deviation of 0.8, indicates a strong likelihood of Membrey hitting the back of the net. Considering his recent performance and the model's insights, the bet on Membrey to snag a goal is a statistically sound choice for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.
Jack Sinclair (St Kilda) Over 24.5 Disposals (-250)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jack Sinclair is poised to shine against Collingwood based on his stellar recent form. With an average of 26.2 disposals in his last five away games and a 100% hit rate in his last five matches, Sinclair's current momentum is impressive. His history against Collingwood also favors him, averaging 27 disposals in their previous encounters. Additionally, his proficiency in contested possessions (6.6 avg) and disposal efficiency (70.6% avg) further support his ability to surpass the 24.5 disposal line set by sportsbet. Considering his consistent performance and favorable matchup, Sinclair is well-positioned to snag more than 24.5 disposals in this game.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get My Full Access
Bet Better Pro
Stop Forfeiting Value. See the Daily Best Value Bets You're Missing.
You've seen a sample of our analysis. Pro members get instant access to all our high-value opportunities and smart betting angles.
★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
★★★★★ "The CLV edge is consistent. Finally, a service that speaks my language." - James K., London, UK
★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the first two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
★★★★★ "I've stopped making speculative parlays. The data-driven approach here is a game-changer." - Ben C., Sydney, AU
★★★★★ "The time saved is immense, and the results are undeniable. A must-have for any serious bettor." - Michael T. Toronto, CA
★★★★★ "The daily write-ups alone are worth the price. The insights are sharp and actionable." - Chris D., Chicago, IL
★★★★★ "+11.2% ROI on NFL props this quarter. The models are legit." - David R., New York, NY
★★★★★ "The CLV edge is consistent. Finally, a service that speaks my language." - James K., London, UK
★★★★★ "Paid for my annual sub in the two weeks with the NBA Best Value Bets." - Mark P., Austin, TX
★★★★★ "I've stopped making speculative parlays. The data-driven approach here is a game-changer." - Ben C., Sydney, AU
★★★★★ "The time saved is immense, and the results are undeniable. A must-have for any serious bettor." - Michael T. Toronto, CA
★★★★★ "The daily write-ups alone are worth the price. The insights are sharp and actionable." - Chris D., Chicago, IL