Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 12.5 Rebounds (+105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but the smart play might be taking the under on his rebounds at 12.5. Sure, Jokic has been a rebounding machine, averaging 15.2 boards over his last five games. However, his home numbers tell a slightly different story, with 14.6 per game - a solid figure, but not enough to suggest he'll easily eclipse 12.5 against a Blazers team he's averaged 11.8 rebounds against in their last five meetings. Moreover, Jokic's home hit rate shows he's gone under that 12.5 mark in 4 of his last 10 home games. With Denver's depth and the potential for a more balanced attacking approach, it's reasonable to expect Jokic's rebounding numbers to dip just a bit. Taking the under here feels like a calculated move, considering the matchup and Jokic's recent trends.

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