Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers head into Denver, Matisse Thybulle's three-point shooting presents an intriguing narrative. Despite his recent success from beyond the arc, ringing the bell 1.8 times in his last five games, context is crucial here. Thybulle has been more of a role player on the road, averaging just 1.2 threes away from home. The Nuggets' defense is notorious for stifling perimeter shooters, and historically, Thybulle has averaged just one three against them. With an overall hit rate of 14 out of 19 games but a perfect 3-for-3 on his last away trip, the odds suggest regression is likely. The expected stat value of 1.1 aligns with the narrative that Thybulle might struggle to find his rhythm in Denver's high-altitude arena. For those betting on the under, the stars seem to be aligning for Thybulle to fall short of 1.5 threes.

Donovan Clingan (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Donovan Clingan's rebounding in this matchup against the Denver Nuggets, the numbers suggest we're leaning towards the under on 11.5. Although his recent performance has shown some promise-averaging 12.8 rebounds against the Nuggets in their last five encounters-playing away from home tends to temper his impact. Clingan has pulled down just 10.6 boards per game on the road in his last five outings.Even more telling is his recent trend, where he's hit the under in three straight games. With an expected stat value of just 10.26, it's clear that this matchup against a strong Denver frontcourt poses challenges. While he has the potential to surprise, the expected output suggests we'll see a lower total. Given the implied probability sits at 56.8%, the under on Clingan's rebounds feels like a savvy play here.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 12.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but bettors might want to consider leaning toward the under on his rebounds set at 12.5. While Jokic has averaged a solid 15.2 boards over his last five games, his home production tells a different story, with just 14.6 rebounds recently. What's more, his numbers against the Blazers show a slight dip, averaging 11.8 rebounds in their past matchups, and just 13.2 at home. Given that Jokic has only hit the over in 60% of his last ten home games, there's reason to believe he might not reach that lofty mark this time around. With an expected stat value of 11.85, it seems the odds are not in favor of the reigning MVP hitting that 12.5 threshold tonight. A calculated under might just pay off handsomely.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro