Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nuggets gear up to host the Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but this might be the night to bet against his usual brilliance in rebounds and assists. Averaging a robust 20.78 combined figures over the last five games, it's clear he's capable. However, he's also faced Portland recently, posting just 11.8 rebounds and 9.6 assists against them. His home numbers look solid-14.6 rebounds and 13.2 assists-but they often spike due to matchups against weaker defenses. With the Blazers' defensive schemes tightening, Jokic might find himself less involved than usual. Additionally, in the last three outings against Portland, he's only exceeded 24.5 combined totals once. This matchup suggests that the under on 24.5 is the savvy play, especially as the Nuggets focus on other scoring options.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Deni Avdija's performance against the Denver Nuggets offers a compelling case for targeting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 41.5. While he has been solid overall, averaging 22.4 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.6 assists in his last five games, his away numbers tell a different story. Specifically, he's hit just 13.4 points per game against the Nuggets when playing in their arena, alongside lower averages in both rebounds and assists.With an impressive 16 of his last 19 games hitting the under on this line, and a staggering 9 of 12 away games falling short too, it's clear that the road environment affects him. The Nuggets are a tough matchup defensively, making it hard for Avdija to find his rhythm. For this game, backing the under seems like a wise choice as he likely struggles to hit that high mark in a challenging setting.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 26.5 Points (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Deni Avdija steps onto the court against the Denver Nuggets, there's a compelling case to wager on him staying under 26.5 points. Sure, he's had moments of brilliance, averaging 22.4 points over his last five games, but those numbers can be misleading when considering his away performances. In fact, his scoring takes a tumble to just 13.4 points per game against the Nuggets when he's in enemy territory-quite the drop from his away average of 25.2.Moreover, Avdija has hit the under in 10 of his last 12 away games, showcasing a trend that can't be ignored. With the Nuggets' defense tightening up at home, it's reasonable to expect Avdija to find it tough to breach that 26.5 threshold. With an expected stat value of just 21.9, betting the under on Avdija could be a savvy move as he faces a formidable Nuggets squad.

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