Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to host the Portland Trail Blazers, it's worth considering a player prop on Nikola Jokic for under 24.5 combined rebounds and assists. While Jokic has been a statistical marvel, averaging 15.2 rebounds and 12.8 assists over his last five games, his recent performance against Portland suggests a potential dip. At home, Jokic's numbers against the Blazers reflect a slight decline-averaging just 13.2 rebounds and 10.2 assists. The matchup doesn't favor an all-out explosion; Portland's defense has tightened up in recent encounters, limiting Jokic to an average of 20.77 combined stats. Plus, he's hit the under in two of his last three games overall, and at home, he's also trended that way. With the game being crucial for playoff positioning, watch for a more focused and restrained Jokic, making the under a compelling play in this matchup.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Portland Trail Blazers take on the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija. However, given his recent form on the road, betting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 41.5 feels like a savvy move. While Avdija has averaged a respectable 22.4 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.6 assists over his last five games, he struggles when away from home. His away averages dip to 25.2 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 7.4 assists, but against the Nuggets, those numbers take a hit-he's managed just 13.4 points and 5.4 rebounds in Denver. With an overall hit rate of 16 out of 19, and 9 of his last 12 on the road falling under this threshold, it seems likely that Avdija's struggles will continue in this matchup. Trust the numbers-this is a bet

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 26.5 Points (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Portland Trail Blazers face off against the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija, but betting on him to go under 26.5 points feels like the safer play. Sure, he's been averaging 25.2 points away, but let's dig deeper. In his last five outings against the Nuggets, he's settled around 22.2 points, and even more telling, just 13.4 points in Denver. That's a stark contrast when you consider his overall away success, which might be buoyed by favorable matchups elsewhere. With a hit rate of 18 out of 20, the trends suggest Avdija tends to fall short against this specific opponent. As the Nuggets tighten up their defense, especially at home, it wouldn't be surprising to see Avdija struggle to hit that 26.5 threshold. So, let's capitalize on this mismatch and back the under.

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