Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nuggets gear up to face the Trail Blazers at home, eyes are keenly set on Nikola Jokic's rebounding and assist stats. While Jokic has dazzled with averages of 15.2 rebounds and 12.8 assists over his last five games, his recent performances against Portland suggest a different narrative. At home, he's hitting a solid 14.6 boards and 13.2 assists, but against the Blazers, those numbers dip to a modest 11.8 rebounds and 9.6 assists. Adding to the intrigue, Jokic has only surpassed that 24.5 combined mark in two of his last three games against this opponent. The matchup might just tighten up, considering Portland's defensive adjustments. With an expected stat value of 20.54, betting the under on Jokic's combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy play here, particularly in a game where he might not need to do it all.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Deni Avdija, but perhaps not in the way his fans hope. While he's had a solid season, averaging 22.4 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.6 assists over his last five games, playing away can be a different ball game. Notably, his away averages dip to 25.2 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 7.4 assists, which isn't enough to clear the steep 40.5 mark we're looking at.Against the Nuggets, his numbers take a hit too. He's averaged just 13.4 points and 5.4 rebounds when playing in Denver. Given that he's hit the under in 15 of his last 19 outings, including a perfect 9 for 12 on the road, the smart play here is to lean into the under. Expect the home crowd to stifle his production

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 25.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Deni Avdija is stepping into a tough spot against the Denver Nuggets, which makes betting the under on his points total intriguing. While he's been solid lately, averaging 22.4 points over his last five games, his numbers drop significantly when he's on the road against stiff competition. Against the Nuggets, he's managed just 13.4 points in away matchups recently, highlighting how challenging it can be for him to find his rhythm outside of home. Compounding this, Avdija's overall hit rate shows he's gone under 25.5 points in 16 of his last 19 games, a trend that's magnified in away games, where he's hit under in 10 of his last 12. With the Nuggets' defense tightening at home, it's tough to envision him exceeding that 25.5 mark, making the under a compelling play here. The odds suggest we should lean into the numbers and trust the trend.

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