Peyton Watson (Denver Nuggets) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-217)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes should be on Peyton Watson. Playing at home, he's been nothing short of electric, averaging 20 points and 3.8 rebounds over his last five games in Denver. Not only does he thrive in front of the home crowd, but his track record against the Blazers is impressive-averaging 13 points and 5.5 rebounds at home against them. The numbers speak volumes: Watson has hit the over on points and rebounds in his last 20 games, and he's been flawless at home, converting all 11 chances. With an expected stat value suggesting he could easily surpass the 9.5 mark, it's hard to ignore the momentum he's carrying into this matchup. The Nuggets will rely on him, and with a 68.5% implied probability, betting on Watson to go over feels like a wise play.

Peyton Watson (Denver Nuggets) Over 5.5 Points (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the Nuggets' matchup against the Trail Blazers, targeting Peyton Watson for over 5.5 points feels like a slam dunk. Watson has been on a scoring tear, averaging 19.2 points over his last five games, with a solid bump to 20 points when he plays at home. In fact, he's consistently found his groove against Portland, dropping an impressive 13 points in their previous home encounters. With a flawless hit rate of 20 for 20 in his last outings, there's reason to believe he'll continue this trend. The Nuggets are at home, where Watson thrives under the spotlight. Given his recent form and the fact that the Blazers struggle defensively, this looks like a ripe opportunity for Watson to not just meet, but exceed that modest 5.5 threshold. Trust the stats; he's ready to shine once more.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets take the court against the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but the savvy bet lies in his assists total, specifically the under at 10.5. Despite his impressive average of 11.6 assists over the last five games, Jokic's production dips against the Blazers, where he's managed just 8.4 assists on average in that same span. At home, that number slightly increases to 9.4, but even with the home-court advantage, he's only exceeded 10.5 dimes in 4 of his last 7 games at the Pepsi Center. With Jokic's overall hit rate dipping to 2 out of 3 in recent outings, this matchup presents an opportunity. The Trail Blazers will likely focus their defensive efforts on limiting his playmaking, which could keep his assist totals in check. Look for Jokic to distribute the ball, but not quite reach that 10.5 mark

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