Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks (Aaron Gordon Key Factor): Winning Game Angles

When it comes to Dylan Harper's three-point shooting in the upcoming matchup against the Nuggets, the evidence suggests a solid case for the under on 1.5 made threes. Harper has recently been averaging 1.4 threes per game overall, but here's where it gets telling: on the road, that number dips to 1.8, and against the Spurs, he's been even less effective, managing just 0.5 threes over their last five encounters.In fact, when playing away against San Antonio, Harper has struggled to find his rhythm from beyond the arc, averaging a dismal zero threes made. The Nuggets' defense will likely tighten the screws further, making it tough for Harper to find open looks. With an expected stat value of only 0.67, it's hard to see him hitting that 1.5 mark. Betting the under here feels like a smart play given the context.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-143)

When the Spurs roll into Denver, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama. While his potential is sky-high, betting on him to make over 2.5 threes might be a stretch. Let's consider his recent form: he's averaging just 1.2 threes in away games over the last five outings, and even against the Nuggets, he's only hitting about 2.7 threes when playing on the road.Additionally, his overall three-point success rate has been impressive recently, but it's essential to note his current hit rate-he's nailed 8 out of his last 9 attempts, which is amazing but not sustainable. With the crowded Denver defense focused on limiting his looks from deep, it makes sense to lean toward the under here. Wembanyama thrives inside the arc, and with the altitude and pressure in Denver, expect him to come up just short of that 2.5 mark.

Cameron Johnson (Denver Nuggets) Under 2.5 Rebounds (+230)

Cameron Johnson's matchup against the San Antonio Spurs presents an intriguing opportunity to bet the under on his rebounds at 2.5. While he's averaged 3.6 rebounds over his last five games, a closer look reveals a dip when he plays at home, where he's only securing 2.6 boards per game recently. The Spurs, on the other hand, are not an ideal matchup for Johnson's rebounding game; he's pulled down just 4 rebounds per game against them lately, and at home, that number drops to around 4. With a hit rate of 75% in his last four home games, there's room for skepticism. Johnson's role on the Nuggets often has him lingering around the perimeter, which could limit his rebounding opportunities against a Spurs team that typically allows less than 45 rebounds per game. Given these factors, backing the under on Johnson's rebounds seems like a smart play.