Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Nuggets vs. Spurs clash, Luke Kornet presents an intriguing opportunity for an Over bet on points and rebounds at 9.5. Despite a modest average of 6.8 points and 5.6 rebounds over his last five games, Kornet has shown flashes of potential that can't be ignored. Notably, in his last four away contests, he hit the Over in three, showcasing his ability to step up on the road. When facing the Spurs, he has consistently found the basket, averaging 5.2 points against them. While his recent away numbers sit at 4.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, his expected stat value of 12.86 suggests he's poised for a breakout. With a solid hit rate of 4 out of 5 in his last games, it seems Kornet could easily eclipse that 9.5 mark, especially against a Spurs team that can sometimes struggle defensively.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs face off against the Nuggets, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but we're leaning towards the under on his three-pointers made at 2.5. While he's undeniably a talent, recent trends suggest he might not hit that mark tonight. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 1.4 threes overall and even lower at 1.2 when playing away, which highlights a dip in his perimeter shooting under pressure. Sure, his average against the Nuggets is a respectable 2.8, but those numbers can be misleading, especially considering his last 14 away games show no hits above this line. With an 89% success rate for the under in that span, it's hard to ignore the possibility he'll fall short again. Expect Wembanyama to focus more on driving than jacking up shots from downtown against a solid Denver defense.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to snag under 13.5 rebounds could be a savvy move. Although Jokic has averaged a solid 17 boards in his last five games, a closer look reveals he's managed just 12.6 per game against the Spurs in recent matchups, and even fewer at home, with an average of 12. That's a telling trend, especially considering he's hit the under in 4 of his last 5 meetings with them. Moreover, with the Nuggets' roster depth, Jokic may not need to dominate the boards as he has in the past. Given his recent home hit rate of 7 out of 11 for this prop, and an expected stat value of 12.35, it seems prudent to lean towards the under in this matchup, especially with the Spurs looking to slow the game down.

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