Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs travel to Denver, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but let's not overlook the numbers that suggest he may fall short on his three-point attempts. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, his recent average of just 1.4 threes made in his last five games raises a flag. Even more telling is his away performance, where he's hitting only 1.2 threes per game.Adding to the narrative, Wembanyama's average against the Nuggets stands at 2.8 threes, but that's skewed by earlier matchups. With the altitude in Denver and a formidable Nuggets defense, it's hard to see him maintaining that pace. His last 14 away games show a flawless hit rate, but context matters-if he doesn't find his range early, he could easily struggle. Betting the under on 2.5 threes feels like the savvy play here.

Harrison Barnes (San Antonio Spurs) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (+122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Harrison Barnes is primed for a standout performance against the Denver Nuggets, and targeting the over on his combined points and rebounds at 9.5 feels like a savvy move. While his recent averages of 6.6 points and 2 boards don't jump off the page, the context against the Spurs tells a different story. Barnes has torched San Antonio lately, averaging 13.4 points in their last five encounters, including 12.4 points on their turf. Moreover, his away form shows promise, hitting the over in five of his last seven games. Add in the fact that he's been exceeding expectations with an expected stat value of 11.34, and it's clear he's capable of making an impact when it matters. His ability to step up in key matchups offers a compelling case that he'll surpass that 9.5 threshold against a Spurs team that can be vulnerable.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs at home, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, particularly when it comes to his rebounding numbers. While Jokic has been a rebounding machine, averaging 17 boards in his last five games, context is key. Against the Spurs, he's pulled down an average of just 12.6 rebounds, and notably, that drops to 12 when playing at home. With the Nuggets' recent trend of only 7 out of 11 home games hitting the over on this line, it seems the stars might be aligning for an under play. The Spurs tend to limit his opportunities on the boards, and with an expected stat value of only 12.35, backing the under at 13.5 feels like a smart move. Trust the numbers; Jokic might just fall short of that lofty rebound total this time around.

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