Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to host the San Antonio Spurs, it's tempting to expect another dominant performance from Nikola Jokic. However, I'm leaning toward the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 24.5. While he has been a statistical powerhouse, averaging 17 rebounds and 13.6 assists over his last five games, his home splits tell a different story. The reigning MVP has only hit the 25-mark in 6 of his last 11 home games, averaging 12.4 assists and 14.6 rebounds when playing in Denver.Against the Spurs, his numbers dip, too; he's averaging just 12 rebounds and 8.8 assists at home against them. With a projected stat value of only 19.51, it seems like the odds are stacked against him exceeding that threshold. In a matchup that could become a strategic grind, the under on Jokic's rebounds and assists looks appealing.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 11.5 Assists (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets welcome the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to go under 11.5 assists could be the smart play. Despite his impressive recent averages, Jokic's assists against the Spurs at home have been notably lower, clocking in at just 8.8 per game over their last five meetings. With the Spurs' defense tightening up, Jokic might find his opportunities limited.At home, he's also shown a tendency to distribute less, averaging 12.4 assists lately, but the matchup suggests he might fall short of that mark tonight. With a hit rate of just 60% in his last 15 games at home for assists, going under seems to align well with the trends. Don't be surprised if he finishes just shy of that 11.5 mark as the Nuggets aim for a balanced offensive approach against a Spurs team that can frustrate high assist games.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs gear up to face the Nuggets, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but betting enthusiasts might want to consider the under on his three-pointers made, set at 2.5. While Wembanyama has dazzled this season, averaging 1.4 threes in his last five games, his away performance dips to just 1.2. Against the Nuggets, he has hit that mark about 2.7 times in his last encounters, but with a solid defensive scheme led by Denver, we could see him struggle to find his rhythm beyond the arc. Historically, his away hit rate is flawless over 14 games, but the recent trend shows a tightening up against formidable defenses. The odds favor the under here, as Wembanyama seems poised for a night focused more on driving and mid-range shots than launching from deep, making this bet a strategic play worth considering.

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