Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs head to Denver, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but I'm betting he'll stay under 2.5 threes made. Sure, the rookie phenom has dazzled with his shooting at times, averaging 1.4 threes over his last five games. But when he's on the road, that drops to just 1.2, and against the Nuggets, he's been even less effective, averaging only 2.7 threes in their matchups.Let's not forget his recent form - while he's hit the over in 8 of his last 9 games overall, his away performance has been starkly different, hitting that mark in every game for a staggering 14-game streak. The altitude in Denver could also play a role, making it tougher for him to find his rhythm. Given this context, targeting the under on Wembanyama's threes feels like a savvy move.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs head to Denver, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but I'm leaning towards him falling short of the 40.5 points and rebounds mark in this matchup. Sure, he's been a dominant force, averaging around 30 points and almost 16 rebounds over his last five games. However, his away numbers tell a different story, with averages dipping to 25.4 points and 14.2 rebounds. Facing a Nuggets team known for their solid interior defense, Wembanyama might struggle to assert himself as he has at home. Historically, he's posted slightly lower outputs against Denver, averaging just 26.7 points and 14.7 rebounds in away games. With an overall hit rate of just 12 out of his last 19 games for the under, and particularly a perfect 12 for his last 14 away, it looks like a smart play to back the under this time around.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to host the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but a closer look at his rebounding numbers suggests a potential dip. Despite averaging a solid 17 rebounds over the last five games, his home performance against the Spurs tells a different story; he's pulled down just 12 boards per game at home against them recently. With the Spurs focusing on limiting his contributions in the paint, it's plausible that Jokic may find it challenging to hit that 13.5 mark. Historically, he's only surpassed that threshold in seven of his last 11 home games. Considering the Nuggets' balanced attack and the potential for fewer rebounds with better perimeter shooting, betting the under on Jokic's rebounds feels like a savvy play. With an expected stat value of 12.35, this bet aligns perfectly with the game narrative and recent trends.

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