Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs roll into Denver, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but his rebounding numbers could tell a different story. Despite his impressive stature and skills, he's averaging just 14.2 boards in his last five away games, a sharp dip from his overall average of 15.8. Facing the Nuggets, who boast a strong rebounding unit led by Nikola Jokic, the 12.5 line feels generous. Historically, Wembanyama has averaged only 14.7 against Denver when on the road, and with a hit rate of just 10 out of his last 17 away games falling under this mark, the signs are pointing down. With an expected stat value of 10.68, Wembanyama might struggle to match up against the Nuggets' physicality. A perfect storm of matchups and trends suggests that going under on his rebounds is a savvy play for this matchup.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs travel to Denver, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but let's not overlook the numbers that suggest he may fall short on his three-point attempts. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, his recent average of just 1.4 threes made in his last five games raises a flag. Even more telling is his away performance, where he's hitting only 1.2 threes per game.Adding to the narrative, Wembanyama's average against the Nuggets stands at 2.8 threes, but that's skewed by earlier matchups. With the altitude in Denver and a formidable Nuggets defense, it's hard to see him maintaining that pace. His last 14 away games show a flawless hit rate, but context matters-if he doesn't find his range early, he could easily struggle. Betting the under on 2.5 threes feels like the savvy play here.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs at home, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, particularly when it comes to his rebounding numbers. While Jokic has been a rebounding machine, averaging 17 boards in his last five games, context is key. Against the Spurs, he's pulled down an average of just 12.6 rebounds, and notably, that drops to 12 when playing at home. With the Nuggets' recent trend of only 7 out of 11 home games hitting the over on this line, it seems the stars might be aligning for an under play. The Spurs tend to limit his opportunities on the boards, and with an expected stat value of only 12.35, backing the under at 13.5 feels like a smart move. Trust the numbers; Jokic might just fall short of that lofty rebound total this time around.

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