Unlock potential winning bets for Fremantle Dockers playing Essendon Bombers. Includes analysis on key players like Michael Frederick. Analysis includes AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Fremantle Dockers vs Essendon Bombers stats and odds.
Fremantle Dockers vs Essendon Bombers : Essendon Bombers 29.5 (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Despite recent struggles, Essendon's defensive improvement suggests they can cover the +29.5 spread against Fremantle. With Fremantle averaging a margin of 13.2 in their last five home games and Essendon showing resilience defensively, conceding 93.8 points on average in their away games, the Bombers might limit Fremantle's scoring opportunities. Essendon's ability to restrict inside 50s and shots on goal could help them control the game's tempo and keep the final score within the spread. Additionally, Fremantle's lower average of 12.6 target goals in their recent home games might play into Essendon's favor in staying competitive. Overall, the defensive efforts of Essendon could make them a strong contender to cover the spread in this matchup.
Michael Frederick (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-303)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Michael Frederick is a strong bet to score anytime in the upcoming Fremantle Dockers vs. Essendon Bombers game. His recent form, averaging 1.4 goals in his last five home games, exceeds the model's prediction of 1.2. With a goal accuracy of 55.0% and 2.6 shots at goal per game, Frederick consistently threatens the opposition. Additionally, his average of 4.4 score involvements and 0.6 marks inside 50 highlight his crucial role in Fremantle's attacking plays. Facing Essendon, against whom he averages 2 goals in his last five home games, Frederick's goal-scoring potential is further emphasized. This bet leverages Frederick's recent performance and historical success against the upcoming opponent.
Shai Bolton (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Shai Bolton presents a strong case to snag a goal in the upcoming match against Essendon. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent he historically performs well against, averaging 2 goals in their recent matchups, Bolton's goal-scoring prowess is evident. His solid goal accuracy of 56.7% at home, coupled with an average of 2.2 shots at goal per game, showcases his consistent attacking threat. Additionally, his involvement in scores (5.6 per game at home) and ability to create opportunities (4.2 inside 50s) further support the likelihood of him hitting the scoreboard. With a model predicting 1.5 goals and a 4.1% edge, backing Shai Bolton to score anytime seems like a promising bet.
Peter Wright (Essendon) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-500)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Peter Wright is a strong bet to score anytime in the Fremantle vs. Essendon matchup due to his recent performance. With an average of 2.8 goals in his last five away games and a 75% goal accuracy, Wright has been consistently finding the big sticks. His 3.8 shots at goal and 2.4 marks inside 50 per game indicate his involvement in scoring opportunities. Considering his average of 5 score involvements, Wright is a key player for Essendon in generating scoring chances. Facing Fremantle, where he has a solid track record, notching an average of 2 goals in the last five matchups against them, further supports this bet. With his recent form and historical success against Fremantle, Wright is poised to continue his goal-scoring streak.
Jye Amiss (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-476)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jye Amiss presents a strong case to score anytime in the upcoming Fremantle vs. Essendon clash. With a solid model prediction of 1.3 goals, Amiss has been consistent, averaging 1 goal in his last 5 home games. His recent form showcases a 56.7% goal accuracy, along with 2.2 shots at goal per game. Facing Essendon, where he has averaged 2 goals in his last 5 encounters, Amiss is poised to capitalize on his 3.8 score involvements and 1 mark inside 50 per game. The model's edge of 3.1% further supports his potential to snag a goal, making him a promising choice for the anytime goal scorer market.
Murphy Reid (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-278)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Murphy Reid is a solid choice to score anytime in the upcoming game. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five games, his goal-scoring form is consistent. Reid's home game stats also show a strong performance, averaging 2.6 shots at goal and 0.4 marks inside 50. His goal accuracy of 42.7% at home is slightly below his overall average of 46.0%, but his consistent involvement in scores (4.8 score involvements) enhances his chances. Given the predictive model's confidence in him scoring (1 goal prediction with a low standard deviation of 0.8), the implied probability of 73.5% aligns with his recent performance, making him a reliable pick for an anytime goal in this matchup.
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