Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers Prediction & Same Game Multi picks Key Insights: Our Expert Analysis

Bailey Smith's recent form, especially in home games, suggests a strong likelihood of exceeding 24.5 disposals against Richmond. With an average of 30.4 disposals in his last five home games and a consistent hit streak, Smith consistently outperforms the line. His ability to maintain possession efficiently and cover ground with an average of 682.6 meters gained adds to the confidence in this bet. Against Richmond specifically, Smith averages 26.3 disposals, indicating a solid track record against this opponent. With a model prediction of 32.7 disposals and a significant 6.3% edge, the statistical indicators align well for Smith to continue his impressive disposals trend at home.

Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-526)

Oliver Dempsey is a solid choice to score anytime in the Geelong vs Richmond matchup due to his recent form. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent where he averages 3 goals in the last 5 matchups, Dempsey is poised to continue his scoring streak. His strong goal accuracy of 58.3% at home, coupled with an average of 2.2 shots at goal per game, indicates a high likelihood of converting opportunities. Additionally, his consistent involvement in scoring plays, averaging 5.4 score involvements per game, further supports his potential to snag a goal. Based on these statistics and Dempsey's performance trend, the over bet on him to score anytime presents a favorable opportunity for AFL betting enthusiasts.

Tim Taranto (Richmond) Over 19.5 Disposals (-588)

Tim Taranto is a strong bet to exceed 19.5 disposals against Geelong. His recent away form shows an average of 24.4 disposals, surpassing the model's prediction of 24.9 with a narrow edge. Taranto's consistency in contested possessions (12 avg.), kicks (10.8 avg.), and effective disposals (68.2% avg.) enhances his ability to meet this line. Facing Geelong, where he averages 26 disposals over his last five games, further supports this bet. Taranto's impeccable recent away performance, along with his high hit rate, indicates a high likelihood of him achieving over 19.5 disposals.