Unlock potential winning bets for Hawthorn Hawks playing Adelaide Crows. Includes analysis on key players like Massimo D'Ambrosio. Analysis includes AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows stats and odds.
Massimo D'Ambrosio (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-278)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Massimo D'Ambrosio is poised to exceed 14.5 disposals based on his recent form and matchup against the Adelaide Crows. With a model prediction of 19.1 disposals and a solid 73.5% implied probability, D'Ambrosio's consistent performance, averaging 17.2 disposals in his last five home games, suggests he can surpass the set line. His impressive home hit rate, averaging 15 out of 18 games, and current hit streaks further support his capability to meet this mark. Additionally, his historical performance against Adelaide, averaging 20 disposals in the last five matchups, indicates a favorable opportunity for him to shine in this game, making the Over a compelling bet.
Nick Watson (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-435)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Nick Watson is a solid choice to score anytime based on his recent performance trends. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games and a goal accuracy of 48.3%, he consistently finds the back of the net. Additionally, his average of 5.4 score involvements and 3 shots at goal per game indicate active participation in Hawthorn's attacking plays. Facing Adelaide Crows, against whom he has averaged 2 goals in their last encounters, Watson's scoring potential is further supported. The model's prediction of 1.5 goals with a 7.8% edge suggests a high likelihood of him continuing his scoring streak in this game, making the bet on Nick Watson to score anytime a favorable option.
Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-244)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Wayne Milera presents a strong opportunity to surpass 14.5 disposals against Hawthorn based on his recent away game performance. With a solid average of 16.2 disposals and a consistent hit streak in away games, Milera's form indicates a high likelihood of meeting or exceeding the 14.5 line. His all-around game, including kicks (9.6) and handballs (6.6), supports his ability to contribute across various aspects of play. Additionally, his disposal efficiency (82.3%) and metres gained (297.6) further showcase his effectiveness when in possession. Facing Hawthorn, against whom he averages 10 disposals in away games and 10 overall, Milera is poised to continue his trend of meeting or exceeding his disposals line.
Josh Worrell (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-455)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Josh Worrell is a strong bet to go over 14.5 disposals against Hawthorn. With a model prediction of 20.3, Worrell's recent performance supports this bet. In his last five away games, he has averaged 19.8 disposals, well above the line. His impressive 74.4% disposal efficiency and consistent 459.6 metres gained indicate his effectiveness on the field. With a current hit streak of 10 in away games and a perfect 10/10 hit rate, Worrell's form is solid. Additionally, his overall hit streak of 17 and perfect 17/17 hit rate further solidify his reliability, making the over 14.5 disposals a sensible choice for this matchup.
Mabior Chol (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-500)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Mabior Chol is a strong bet to score anytime in the Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows matchup based on his recent performance data. With a solid average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent where he averages 1.7 goals in the same period, Chol is consistent in finding the back of the net. His 33.3% goal accuracy at home, coupled with an average of 3 shots on goal per game, indicates he is a reliable forward likely to convert his opportunities. With an implied probability of 83.3% and a model edge of 5.6%, the stats favor Chol continuing his scoring streak in this game.
Josh Rachele (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-625)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Josh Rachele is a strong choice to score anytime based on his recent performance data. With an average of 2.2 goals in his last five away games, Rachele has shown consistent scoring ability. His goal accuracy of 63.1% and average of 3.6 shots at goal per game further support his scoring potential. Additionally, facing Hawthorn, against whom he averages 0 goals in his last five away games, Rachele is poised to capitalize on this matchup. His recent form, marked by an average of 6.4 score involvements per game, indicates he is actively involved in scoring opportunities. Considering these factors, the model's prediction of 1.5 goals with a 3.2% edge, Rachele is well-positioned to find the back of the net in this game.