Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: Smart Baseball Betting Angles

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: Smart Baseball Betting Angles

July 07th | 03:47 AM GMT Read time icon3 min read
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Winning baseball bets for Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians : Over 3.5 Total Runs (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Over 3.5' bet for the Astros vs Guardians game is a solid choice based on both teams' recent scoring and defensive performances. The Astros have an average of 3.4 runs scored in their last 5 games, while the Guardians have averaged 3.8. This combined average of 7.2 runs easily surpasses the 3.5 line. Additionally, the Guardians have allowed an average of 5.2 runs in their last 5 away games, indicating a potential for the Astros to score more. The Astros' strong batting average of 7.8 hits per game also supports this. Moreover, the Guardians' higher average of pitcher strikeouts and walks implies more opportunities for the Astros to score. The model prediction of 13.62, far above the 3.5 line, further bolsters the case for this bet. In summary, recent scoring trends and defensive weaknesses point to a high-scoring game.

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Cleveland Guardians Over 0.5' for the Team Total Runs is a solid choice based on the Guardians' recent offensive performance. In their last five games, the Guardians have averaged 3.8 runs overall and 3 runs in away games. This is significantly higher than the 0.5 runs required for this bet to pay off. Additionally, their batting average has been consistent at 6.6 hits, providing ample opportunities to score. Despite the Astros' strong defensive record, with an average of only 1.2 runs allowed in their last five games, the Guardians' scoring capacity exceeds this. The implied probability of 92.6% further reinforces the likelihood of the Guardians scoring over 0.5 runs. Thus, the statistical data suggests the Guardians' offensive performance is likely to result in a score higher than the set line, making this bet a promising choice.

Jose Altuve (HOU) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data strongly supports a bet on Jose Altuve for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market. Over his last five games, Altuve has not recorded a single stolen base, either overall or at home. This trend is also reflected in his average caught stealing (Cs) rates, which are zero across all categories. Furthermore, his stolen base average against the Guardians is only 0.4, suggesting he is less likely to steal a base against this team. Even though Altuve is currently on a hit streak, this does not necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on his recent performance and specific statistics against the Guardians, it is statistically unlikely that Altuve will steal a base in the upcoming game.

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