Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-455)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets gear up to face the Philadelphia 76ers, eyes naturally fall on Amen Thompson, but the smart money is on the "Under" for his rebounds, set at 10.5. Thompson has been solid, averaging around 6.8 rebounds over his last five games, and when you narrow it down to his home performances, that number dips to about 9. Against the 76ers, he's not shown the same prowess, snagging just 6 boards on average in their last encounters, and a mere 3 at home. With an impressive recent hit rate of 8 out of 9 games hitting the Under, it seems Thompson's rebounding potential is being projected higher than it should. With a model edge suggesting an expected value of just 6.69, this bet feels like a savvy play, especially given the implied probability of 82%. Look for Thompson to fall short of that lofty total against a formidable Philly frontcourt.

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-435)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In tonight's matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers, Alperen Sengun is in a position that might not favor him reaching the 11.5 rebound mark. While he's been solid at home, averaging 7.8 boards over his last five games, that's a far cry from the lofty total we're considering here. Facing a formidable 76ers squad, Sengun has averaged just 8.7 rebounds in their previous matchups at home. With a recent trend showing he's hit the under in all three of his last home games, it's clear he's been limited by both opposing defensive schemes and the flow of the game. Given this context, betting on Sengun to stay under 11.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. The data suggests he's on track to hover around the 7-8 range, well below the line set, making this an opportunity you won't want to pass up.

Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 13.5 Rebounds + Assists (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Amen Thompson steps onto the court against the Philadelphia 76ers, we're eyeing a compelling case for him to fall short of that 13.5 combined rebounds and assists mark. While he's shown flashes of brilliance at home, averaging around 9 rebounds and 5.2 assists in recent games, the matchup against the Sixers poses challenges. Historically, Thompson's production against Philadelphia has dipped, with averages of just 3 rebounds and 1 assist per game in their last encounters at home.The Rockets will likely lean on their star players, which could limit Thompson's opportunities to rack up those stats. With an expected stat value hovering around 11.16 and a solid hit rate of 5 out of his last 7 games, the under feels like a prudent choice. Given these dynamics, it's a smart play to take the under on Thompson's combined total tonight.

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