Winning bets for Melbourne Demons vs St Kilda Saints? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA disposals/goals. Explore same game multi, SGM picks, AFL multi odds.
Christian Petracca (Melbourne) Over 19.5 Disposals (-526)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Christian Petracca is a consistent performer, averaging 26.8 disposals in his last five home games and hitting a streak of 4 successful over disposals bets at home. Facing St Kilda, against whom he averages 25 disposals, Petracca's model-predicted 26.4 disposals with a 7.4% edge suggests he's likely to exceed the set line of 19.5. His impressive 71.2% disposal efficiency and strong contested possessions and metres gained stats further support this pick. With an 84.0% implied probability of exceeding 19.5 disposals, Petracca's current form, reliability, and matchup history make him a solid choice for this prop bet.
Cooper Sharman (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-625)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Cooper Sharman is a strong bet to score anytime in the Melbourne vs. St Kilda matchup. With a model prediction of 1.5 goals and an edge of 4.6%, his recent performance supports this. Sharman's L5 stats show an average of 0.8 goals in away games, higher than the line of 0.5. His goal accuracy of 43.3% and involvement in 5.2 scores per game indicate consistent offensive impact. Facing Melbourne, where he has previously scored, adds to his potential. Considering his L5 average of 2.2 goals overall, Sharman is poised to exceed the line and contribute to St Kilda's scoring efforts.
Mitch Owens (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-417)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Mitch Owens is a strong bet to score anytime against Melbourne based on his recent performance. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last five away games and a 1.5 goal average against Melbourne in away games, Owens consistently finds the back of the net. His 36.7% goal accuracy and 3 shots per game indicate he is a constant threat in front of goal. Additionally, his involvement in scores, both in general play and inside 50, showcases his impact on the field. The model's prediction of 1.4 goals, with a 6.4% edge, supports Owens' scoring potential in this matchup, making him a favorable choice for the anytime goal scorer market.