Deep dive into Melbourne Demons vs West Coast Eagles. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA disposals/goals. Check out same game multi, SGM picks, AFL multi odds.
Jamie Cripps (West Coast Eagles) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-278)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jamie Cripps presents a solid bet to score anytime in the Melbourne vs. West Coast matchup based on his recent form. With an average of 1 goal per game over his last five away matches and a shots-at-goal average of 3, Cripps is showing consistent offensive involvement. His goal accuracy of 25.0% may seem low, but his scoring potential against Melbourne, with an average of 1 goal in their recent encounters, is promising. Additionally, Cripps' average of 5.2 score involvements per game showcases his impact in creating scoring opportunities. Considering his recent performance metrics, the model's prediction of 1.2 goals for Cripps, and an 8.5% edge, betting on him to snag a goal seems like a favorable opportunity.
Liam Duggan (West Coast Eagles) Over 19.5 Disposals (-161)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Liam Duggan presents a strong case for exceeding 19.5 disposals against Melbourne. His recent form, averaging 21 disposals in away games and 23.6 overall, coupled with a consistent 78.8% disposal efficiency, indicates his ability to find the ball effectively. Facing Melbourne, where he averages 22.4 disposals, further boosts his potential to surpass the line. Duggan's proficiency in generating metres gained (484.8 avg) and intercepts (5.2 avg) showcases his impact across the ground. With an impressive hit rate of 9/11 on disposals, including 5/6 in away games, Duggan's reliability strengthens the rationale for this bet, aligning well with the model's prediction of 23.7 disposals.
Jake Melksham (Melbourne) Over 1.5 Goals (-196)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jake Melksham is a strong bet to score over 1.5 goals against West Coast Eagles based on his recent performance. With an average of 2 goals in his last 5 home games and a 40.0% goal accuracy, Melksham has been consistent in finding the big sticks. His involvement in the scoring plays, averaging 6 score involvements per game, and ability to create opportunities with 2 inside 50s and 1.6 marks inside 50 further support this bet. Additionally, his recent hit rates and streaks, with a 4/5 goal rate in the last 5 games, indicate a player in form. This, combined with the model's prediction of 2.1 goals with a solid edge of 12.7%, makes Melksham a favorable pick for surpassing 1.5 goals.
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