Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 27.5 Points + Assists (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Raptors face off against the Grizzlies in Memphis, targeting Scottie Barnes for under 27.5 points and assists feels like a savvy move. While Barnes has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent numbers tell a more conservative story. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 14.8 points and 12.2 assists, which falls short of our target. When playing away, his performance dips further, with averages of 13.2 points and 9.6 assists. Against the Grizzlies, he's managed around 19.8 points and 5.2 assists when on the road, suggesting he's had difficulty elevating his game against this opponent. With a hit rate of 13 out of his last 14 away games falling under this mark and an expected stat value of only 21.49, the under seems not just plausible, but likely. In a tough road environment, it's hard to see Barnes breaking through the 27

Jamal Shead (Toronto Raptors) Under 7.5 Assists (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Grizzlies gear up to face the Raptors, all eyes should be on Jamal Shead and his assists. With an expected stat value hovering around 6.02, the under on his 7.5 assists seems like a savvy play. Shead's recent form is telling; he's fallen under this mark in 14 of his last 16 away games, showcasing a trend that's hard to ignore. While Shead has been a critical playmaker, the Grizzlies' offensive scheme can shift dramatically on the road. Plus, against a Raptors defense that's been tightening up, his opportunities could dwindle. The numbers indicate that he only managed to hit the over in 15 of his last 20 games, further reinforcing the notion that tonight might not be his night for dimes. With the odds favoring the under, it feels like a smart move to bank on Shead staying below that 7.5 threshold.

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 15.5 Rebounds + Assists (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Raptors head into Memphis, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes, but the numbers suggest it might be a quieter night for him. Averaging just 12.78 combined rebounds and assists recently, he's been trending under, especially on the road. In his last five away games, he's managed just 9.6 assists and 5.8 rebounds, falling short of that 15.5 mark. The Grizzlies are tough at home, and against them, Barnes' stats dip even further-his averages against Memphis show he typically lands around 6 rebounds and 5.2 assists.With a hit rate of just 75% in his last 12 away games, it's hard to ignore the trend. The matchup favors a lower output, making the under 15.5 a compelling play. Sometimes, less is more, and in this case, fewer contributions from Barnes could be exactly what we're looking for.

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