Malik Washington (MIA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistics for Malik Washington suggest a cautious approach to betting on him to score a touchdown at any time in the upcoming game between the Miami Dolphins and the Washington Commanders. Over his last 20 games, Washington has only scored once, presenting a hit rate of just 5%. Furthermore, in his most recent ten games, he hasn't scored at all. This pattern holds true for both his overall and home games. His current hit streak stands at zero, underscoring his recent lack of scoring. Therefore, despite the model edge of 0.1796, the historical data does not support a bet on Washington scoring a touchdown in this game. It's important to consider that past performance is not always indicative of future results, but in this case, Washington's scoring record is consistently low.
Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders : NA Moneyline (+130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale behind betting on the Washington Commanders in the head-to-head market stems from comparing both teams' last five games performance. Despite Washington's mixed home record (2-3), they have a significant advantage when comparing overall point differences and expected points added (EPA). Washington's overall point difference stands at -1.6, while the away team is far behind with -18. Moreover, Washington's EPA difference is -1.795, which although negative, is much better than the away team's -21.945. Additionally, Washington's total yards for (320) outweigh the away team's (301.6), suggesting better offensive performance. Though both teams are struggling with turnovers, Washington's turnover difference (-1.4) is better than the away team's (-1.2). Most importantly, the away team's overall recent record is 0-5, showing a lack of form. Washington's recent victory against this same opponent (1-0) also provides
Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders : NA +2.5 Point Spread (-105)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on the Washington Commanders with a spread of 2.5 in this game is sensible considering both teams' recent performances. Washington has a slightly better record over the last five games (2-3) compared to the away team (0-5). Specifically, the away team has a significant point differential of -18, much worse than Washington's -1.6. This indicates the away team is consistently being outscored by a large margin. Looking at the turnovers, Washington's home overall L5 turnover difference is -1.4 compared to the away team's -1.2, suggesting Washington has been slightly better at protecting the ball. Additionally, Washington has performed better in terms of EPA (Estimated Points Added), with a home overall L5 EPA difference of -1.79 compared to the away team's overall L5 EPA difference of -21.94. Their superior EPA indicates a higher effectiveness in turning plays into points. Lastly, the model also predicts
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro